Maestrobjwa

So this run for next week is...rain, miss, or mix? Lol

Now that's what I've had a question about: you see the models show back edge snow on some of these cutters...yet we don't see it often this winter. Why do they show that? (But seeing as it's still showing up this close...maybe it's possible?)

If the coastal idea is still there by Wednesday or Thursday...and if we're still tracking potential for the weekend by then...I do hope this site has it's servers prepared, lol

Canadian seems to show a similar progression on the same day (except it's more rain this run). Wonder what the Euro is gonna spit out? Lol

No kidding--Pretty much the wild wild east on the models today--total free-for-all, lol

From the discussions on here I was under the same impression (don't tell me there's some "wait but it can't be there THIS way" fine print there too, lol)

Man who the heck keeps stickin' a weenie algorithm in the FV3?? XD I swear it feels like some snow weenie weather tech somewhere is just makin' it do this on purpose, lolol I mean 18z was just over the top!!

If we post every snowmap from every model run (particularly for next week), this thread won't last the week! I mean...I don't see the sense in torturing ourselves this way tbh. Way too much goin' on right now!

I heat ya...It's like watching your football team being down by two scores with 7 minyes left...and knowing ya gotta make the most of every opportunity, lol And model run volatility just makes being patient even harder! But, steady as she goes...we could be heading into our best position of the winter; buckle up!

Doesn't have to be unpleasant if ya scroll through the previous cycles and look at the wild array of solutions! I feel like one of the mental challenges of this is hobby is not letting a bad run in long range get ya down...I think bad runs always fuel worse-case scenario fears, lol

Whoa my...lots of pieces jumping around here for the weekend! Good luck figuring out the final solution...lol

As far as that's concerned, for me it's about the overall totals! And I can understand your overall philosophy of savoring every piece of potential...but I can't get with that if the potential that is closer in time appears not to have much of a top end. (it doesn't, right?) So my reason for punting it isn't just because I have an eye on next week...but because it doesn't look like much (or does it? Could it become something better?) Maybe I am more desperate for the big hit because my totals up here are still below average for the moment. But if the weekend looked more exciting (or if it starts to GET more exciting this week!) I wouldn't punt it. (Admittedly, I do have a historical bias...because I'm wondering about the repeat of two other winters on our historical records that each had very similar monthly snow totals up to this point...lol) But I get what you're saying though!

100% of the time? Perhaps 80%...because if the next one DOES work out, then your focus is misplaced! Now as far as the Fri-Sat storm...even if it does trend better, the top end of the potential isn't that high, is it? (or is it too early to tell?)

Lol YET! Yeah it's strange how we've been in a bit of a Grand Canyon with these past couple storms. Screw zone north, jackpot south (and now vice-versa). Let's see if things change around if next week materializes! IF it does...I think we'll be happy!

Now see...arguing about 21 vs 30 inches is a change we oughta all be welcoming right now, lol

Hey @psuhoffman!!!! Look--Feb. 18-19th! Ha (if this is indeed a legit threat, timing it is gonna be a lot of fun, lol)

So are we looking for the Tuesday-Wednesday storm this week to be that potential catalyst?

I ain't gonna live that down But no, no....If it starts on Feb 19th, it still counts! And remember...I just said that we haven't had a HECS during that time, not that it couldn't snow at all! (and even warning level snow in general is still kinda rare during those dates)

Wow--if you're bullish I'm bullish, lol (and define "bump trolling", haha) I think there have been a few of us who have been having a gut feeling about February delivering (although for me it's been more history-based, lol). Let's hope we're right!

Alright folks...workable or no? My novice eyes say yes, but I don't trust them, lol

Seriously? Now @psuhoffman then we have no quarrel, good sir! Never said it couldn't snow significantly before or after that Feb. 20-28th window, lol In fact, President's Day has been the very window I've been curiously watching because the history seems to favor it, lol

Missed it prior or before? And that depends...how much snow was it down here?

Well at least say if the reminder is good or bad!

And I haven't given up on President's Day (or the 19th, haha) yet!! A historical showdown for the ages...lol

I think all 384 panels should contraband on these threads for the remainder of the winter...lol