Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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We just suck at snow. Regardless of any ridge I knew you were gonna come in and say something like that...maybe you should step away for a little while.
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Alright, so...what would be the culprit for this fail scenario? Just bad timing with the transfer? Somebody said something about the PNA ridge?
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I don't get how the totals still look like that given the low practically in the Chesapeake! Does it snow on the back end, or?
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Model wars three days out? Perfectly 2020...lol
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Yeah but not in this setup. Got a ton a QPF all models agree is coming...
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Not that kind of setup, lol
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Mentally I've been thinking 6-8" with a slight chance of an upside if things really lined up. I'd be good with that...will be disappointed if it busts lower though.
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But my question is why did it cut...timing? Late transfer?
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If the 18z were to happen, that would be the real bust here...because that would take a 5-8" prospect along the beltway and turn it into slush! Hope it's wrong! Now...what is making the primary get tucked in like that? (and what do we need to change it?
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Teased by what, exactly? If ya believed in 12-18"...that may have been your interpretation of that that teased you...
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Yeah no other model has been transferring that late...so it appears to be on an island.
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I think we even had that in Jan 2016! I mean everything went about as perfectly as it can go for that storm!
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Wouldn't let my mind go there if I were you...and just remember it's the ICON, lol Let's just see what happens in the next suite...then we can discuss blip or trend
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So I guess the only "rug getting pulled out" scenario would be a further west track at this point?...
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Yeah and so far the high moving away too quickly hasn't been too much of an issue on the rest of the guidance...
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I blame the psu theory
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Darn...don't wanna see that become a thing...
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That was a golden week right there...ain't never seen consensus from like 7-8 days out be that rock-steady!
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#Jan2016...aka easiest tracking ever. But it's kinda rare!
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Even if ya cut that in half for the usual caveats...what would that be...8"+ even for the cities?
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Now what would have to happen to make it go a tad SE?Just a little less amped on Wednesday? (or is this a double-edged sword...and that we don't want less amped because ya want the rates?)
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And add to that the possibility of CAD being undermodeled (as it sometimes is)...and that's a pretty great run!!
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Heck yeah...keep it ampin'!
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Warning level is my bar too...I haven't had one verify imby since 2016, so...I'd take 5-8"! I am curious about what the ceiling will be though...
