Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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Now in such a modeled scenario (thankfully still out in fantasy land), what does the GL low do? Steal the cold air, or?
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Two questions: 1) What other examples outside of 1995-96 where we did okay in a nina because of what you just mentioned? 2) Speaking of 95/96...was some record -AO/-NAO the reason why it worked?
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Yeah I can understand that perspective...on the other hand, IF the -NAO is true, I find it mighty strange how we haven't had winter one for almost a decade (basically since the 2009-10 with only maybe one other case)...and then all of the sudden we get one after a minimum.
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So...is it too early start talking about the lag effect of last year's solar minimum being a possible factor this year? Or perhaps we should give it a little time to make SURE it's gonna happen? Lol
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I just wanna know why man, lolol I'm starting to wonder if even he knows why...
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Frustrating Why are you frustrated by digital snow? (But then you complain when there isn't any...what gives, dude?)
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Ha...that's gonna be funny...I think if they were to be favorable for a change this winter...I mean we gotta look at the solar minimum effect again, don't we? (Especially for the -NAO that has been absent since, well...the effect of the LAST solar minimum)
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I find that lower expectations don't completely erase disappointment with an outcome. Last winter's futility still sucked even when it was clear that it was a no-go. However...more level-headed expectations do help fight off wild emotional swings. With this being a nina...I'm trying to just take it as it comes with that in mind (yeah I'm still hopin' for somethin' deep down, lol)
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Dang...so now sub 200k days become the LOW days? Mercy...How fast this has accelerated is dizzying...to think 100k used to be a bad day!
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Op run analysis 10 days out, eh? Lol
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Ha...both almanacs call for a storm on those dates...lol Yeah I know, I know...but whenever the medium-long range models potential on dates that coincide with the Almanacs (in this case both of them), I can't resist mentioning it
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Oh no doubt...I think snow envy drives some of that complaining in those kind of years (at least for me anyway, lol Yet when we are snow-starved like we are now, you'd take even some 1-3" "scenery" snow! Anything is better than a complete shutout like last year...
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Hope you're right! Because the fact that we had to draw a nina card after last year's disaster kinda stings...hope we can fluke into something!
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Was this after the twin blizzards?
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Yeah ya gotta hope that maybe it's an opposite effect: mild November colder/snowier December?
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Huh...wonder what 2013-14 would've looked like with a nina? Lol
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Now not reaching to this modeling specifically, but in general...in ninas, what has to happen to make a southern and/or east-northeast miss less likely?
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Definitely. (especially the O-line with the penalties...the patchwork makes me a bit nervous for those procedural ones!) For tunrovers... the good news is...at least we still have most of our corner backs and safeties!
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If it is competitive there is always a chance. I'm not counting them out! This is the kind of thing that can spark a team...you just never know. We shall see!
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Yeah @Bob Chill where are ya? Did you finally get tired of us last winter? Lol We miss your special brand of snow gut analysis!
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Ha...of course very early, but...if, IF things were to work out with a -NAO and/or -AO and/or blocking for a change (...wouldn't that be enough to put the solar min back in the conversation? Again, obviously a big IF...but IF it were to happen what other explanation would there be? Lol (especially if it were to happen after going this long without, and happen in a nina on top of that?)
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Well now...gotta that possible connection!
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For our mental health we'd be better off just taking it as it goes...lol
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Now that would be more typical nina behavior, no?
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So I'm confused then as to why this looks more like a super nino December or something, lol Is there an anomaly?
