Maestrobjwa

That's early March, man...10 days includes this week, lol

Hey, may as well! Last snow chance of the season, so...why not? Lol (especially if there aren't any in-between scenarios on the table!)

Of course all the hecs solutions showing up are March 1980 hahah And that winter was a mediocre weak El Niño like this one, was it not? Lol So I wouldn't be too surprised if that happened! (Although again, we still managed to get 4-5 inches...whereas to that point in 1980 BWI had only had like 9 inches. So we'd still end up in a better position with totals, but...would still be a painful miss!)

As long as they ain't still NC hits a week from now, we're good...lol #southanoia

I'm about to just stop listening to cold and snowy forecasts for anything other than a moderate/strong modoki...lol As we have seen this winter...it's better to just lean on history and be done with it! If history says weak modokis are median/meh snowfall, I'm gonna go with that and be pleasantly surprised if it does more. But let's hope we can get mod modoki next...because then our chances oughta be pretty good! (and we'll still have low solar, correct?)

Yeah that map hurts...lol Analog begone! Good analogs only from now on (I mean sure 4 inches would put a lot of us at or above 20", but two misses to the south to bookend the beginning and end of the season would still be torturous, lol)

Well that certainly makes sense...now before this season I had put weak ninos in a "could go either way" category for bigger snow chances...but looking at those numbers, while they're not nina terrible, they're, ah you said...meh. Average, if you will! (And I wonder if the weak ones are like that BECAUASE they can more easily get pushed around by other factors like the MJO and such?). Will certainly keep that in mind from now on as well, lol So now...man it would be so sweet to get another shot at a moderate modoki next year with still having low solar--I hope that Webber dude is onto something!

Yeah I mean this is probably the best we could've gotten out of this event (aside from the dryslot hours, lol). Will still have snowcover to enjoy for another, er...24-48 hours? Lol

(Suprised ya didn't mention 2009/10, 2003, etc, haha) Wouldn't say storms like this one are THE reality, but rather what's more common. A big storm can become the reality anytime of year...but the likelihood? Very inconsistent, lol

I had a personal forecast of 2-4 inches for Balt. City....and sure enough we got exactly 4"! Lol Of course there's a good dose of "what could have been"-itis here...but still not a bad event!

If this were going to be all snow this dry slot wouldn't be as much of an issue...but obviously, since this will eventually changeover to rain, we needed to squeeze as much out of this period of time as we could...because the mixing line marches, lol

Only on this board...will you see such statements--and this is why we are our own tribe here, lololol Rippage here is sweet!!

Now I'm hoping our slow start here in Baltimore won't hurt us later with the totals! Probably got about 1.5 inches so far...can't see us getting 4-6 unless we're supposed to stay snow longer?

Really? Wow--hope it's right!

Took awhile here in Baltimore, but has now been comin' in pretty hot n' heavy for the past 45 mins or so! Almost everything covered already!

Which means it's probably best to switch over to nowcasting, lol

Dude you may have well as just copy and pasted this from the current storm thread...lol

Kinda feel like the forecast for the cities oughta be for 2-4" with a boom scenario of 4-6"...but that's just my untrained opinion, lol

DC has been the sweet spot the past couple storms, so...atmospheric memory? (of course this Baltimorian hopes not, but if I had to bet...)

Did you mean Niño?

Not too many years where D.C. does better than Baltimore snow-wise! I'll admit if that GFS run verifies, that's gonna sting a bit...

Yeah that's why I was a bit surprised to see some 4-6" totals predicted...unless things trend further south, this has a sloppy 2-4" for the cities written all over it, lol

And people wonder why Bob has left the forum for a bit (and others have just plain left)...smh We gotta do better than this, people!!

At the very least...I do hope it's right with pushing the heavy steps southeast a bit!

About a foot of snow here in Baltimore!