Like I said before...would we not save a lot of angst if we simply predicted based on ENSO alone? I mean we could just use our history, right? (I mean, La Niña was a good winter good one time in 100+ years, correct?) So, essentially:
La Niña in any form: Lock your shovels away. Go to northeast or to the beaches for snow.
Weak El Niño--Average snow...nothing TOO spectacular, but nice scenery snow (10-18" for the cities like last year?)
Moderate Niño--Get your shovels ready. Only one in the bunch where above average is actually a better bet
Strong Niño--Either one big blizzard or nothing at all
Neutral--The only category that really has 50/50 odds...sometimes we score, sometimes we don't.
If we follow history, we can pretty much expect things to either pan out more often or not, right? While I have nowhere near the years following our winters some of you have, we have had just about every state in the last 10 years!