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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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Pains me to even bring up the date, but...look up 12/26/2010 east coast snowstorm and a map of the totals. That's....*shiver* all I can bear to reveal *rolls up into fetal position*
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Or at the very least look a little closer at the "shape" of things...I'm seeing that how ya get to the blue can be more important than just seeing the blue! So we don't wanna see the blue coming in in the shape of a tower and a squashed stj wave! Gotta wonder if we can see some improvement this weekend...- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sounds like it's better to jump ship now and be pleasantly surprised if it works, lol And a "cutoff southern low" would mean what?- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Ack...ya wish all the other guidance wasn't showing the same problem. You'd think with usual Day 8 chaos, you'd have all different outcomes/solutions and not every model missing wide right. Now if ya play the odds, you'd think we'd have to get a bit unlucky if we see an incredible 8-day run of this solution on all three globals, lol Would like to see some different solutions modeled this weekend...(which again, you'd think we should see!)- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I kinda feel his angst thid time--I barely missed bigger totals on Jan 3rd as well...but also am ahead of a typical nina pace for January. But ya know, heading into this winter I had practically assumed any MECS/HECS "we're due" wouldn't come until NEXT winter. However, now that we COULD have a chance, if we miss this threat it's still gonna hurt, though--especially if it's because of the same timing issues we've seen. (Although that would suck more if the solution we see now inexplicably locks in, lol But I'd like to see some changes over the weekend!)- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Ack...that SS getting left behind has been an annoyance this month...don't wanna see that happen again!- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Thought Miller B's didn't really have a southern component?- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well, there's a high to the north that wasn't there before, lol- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
ICON also has weekend storm idea- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
An excellent post from the NYC forum echoing points made today:- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think it all comes from the might and the maybes...Ya see a boom run and ya see what can go right (likely triggering a "feel good" response...). You see a bust run and you're reminded of what can go wrong. So I'm not sure it's about like actually being okay with being in the bullseye this early...but rather a reaction to negative runs showing a possibility (likely triggering the opposite response in the brain). Like others have said...psychologists would have a field day in here, lol- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Correct...All stems from the same kind of nervous angst, lol- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
In other words...accept the chaos and uncertainty...because it's all we got for the next several days! When there's big potential we always wanna know certainties even more than usual, but again, chaos...get your towels out if you wanna sweat on the Zs, lol- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
True...a la 2016 being one of those exceptions, lol Yeah that is true. Now, if we can get a transient block...would that add a little more wiggle room?- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Take that down ya traitor!!- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Man if we gotta sweat timing, it's gonna be a lonnnnnng week of tracking.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I don't think that thread will ever recover, lol- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah it looks too much like yesterday, lol- 4,130 replies
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Jan 21 - 22 Weekend SE VA and Eastern Shore Snow
Maestrobjwa replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
When momma's away, the maps go astray... -
Well, seems like the the GFS, CMC, and Euro all have a storm nearby...I'd imagine that's kind of a decent sign so far?
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Perfectly fine for D9...it's close and the idea is there!
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Yeah looks more 12z-like so far...slower SS wave
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Jan 21 - 22 Weekend SE VA and Eastern Shore Snow
Maestrobjwa replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
You'd better run! -
Over the river and through the woods To PSU's house we go There's all kinds of fun, with elevation The mixing line's far away Over the river and through the woods Oh how much snow falls up here? He greets with a grin, unless he gets fringed Hooray for the snow-drift pie!
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Yeah it was...I mean you can even see it phase and turn north off shore. Same kind of direction --could that indicate some kind of a trough in the east?