Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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I do hope Bob's theory about the AO is right in that we may be headed into a period of more blocking overall after struggling for the last decade (I mean...we've had more blocking this winter, haven't we?)
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Had you shared a chart as to the timeline starting from where it was 50 years ago to 1f warmer then 2f warmer? (I wouldn't even know where to start looking for that)
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Waaaaaaay too early for a snowmap for this one
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Not the 0z AIFS showing another logbook fail on the 24th (and the 0z GFS too to a degree) -
Never knew you were a heat miser Chuck, lol
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I'm starting to catch your angst over this and I don't like it, lol I'm gonna just pretend a better PDO will save the day...and or simply believe the next Niño will finally deliver our HECS
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Blame the perfect track, lol
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Awesome, lol Guess it would depend on how much rain we get tomorrow?
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What did NC get last winter?
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Yeah but you know why we aren't allowed to...people will not behave themselves and things will quickly devolve. Ya already see it in some of these responses. I think the reason for the rule is a conduct issue as opposed to a science one!
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Yeah I guess I'm referring more to what NOVA and eve SOVA down Chill's way get. Those waves that are plenty cold enough but get suppressed just so to miss us. Further north boundary...further north snow?
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This! @psuhoffman Not sure if your sae my other post, but I was asking about the samw thing: If we're headed for Raleigh climo then suppression would not longer be an issue, right? If the boundary is going further and further north...we should end up getting more southern sliders to hit us, right? Dec 2018 oughta be a hit in that scenario, lol
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Read my mind, lol And the snowy ensembles for that storm were right...only reason it wasn't a blockbuster was from a specific wave interaction they couldn't possibly see that far out. I for one have enjoyed the glacier (despite the inconveniences). And I'll always remember this winter for that!
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Well let's hope Raleigh climo is still a few decades away...I'm not ready for 55⁰ to be normal in the winter, lol Although...shoot: If that happens the suppression shouldn't be a problem anymore! We oughta be able to get a blizzard the way NC did in that scenario, right? Or the dang December 2018 storm oughta be able to get up here instead of there!
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As a fellow 90s kid I remember some of those fails, lol But I do remember more moderate snows of 6-8" as opposed to what we get now...
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This here...that's what I had assumed the changed would be. But I don't remember this stuff happening before 2016 or us having discussions about perfect track rainstorms in February. In fact I distinctly remember a snowfall in 2015 where it was 50⁰+ the day before and we were are thermostat watching...and the next day we got several inches! It all just feels sudden to me.
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So 2F warmer...did the effects somehow accelerate after 2016? Because I'm sure 2014 or 15 had setups like this that worked, didn't they?
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Alright @psuhoffman weenie model or no...THIS is an example of what should be able to happen, right? And even the NAM...low got deeper, solution got colder...
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Wait is this is a logbook fail incoming? Now see I thought this weekend was rain because the storm got here too late and the cold air had already escaped (and that if it were 12-24 hours sooner it would've been snowier) But you're saying this woulda worked before... Man I still don't get how the switch just flipped so quickly like that. This kind of setup work between 2010 & 2015? I hope this is a PDO issue and not the other.
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Listen if that happens I will own ALLLLLLL of it and take my shots with little complaint, hahaha BUT if we are still tracking this by Wed and then it goes poof I'm just gonna sit here giving y'all side eye
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Cayman Island thread...lol (Wonder how cold they were when Cuba hit freezing last week?)
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Not obvious for all that are reading though.
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Well...if we can't get snow, rain wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. At least it'll clean off the cars
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You're right...of course it does whatever the heck it wants. And this isn't scientific in the slightest. It's no different than the baseball player refusing to wash a sock during a 30-game hitting streak...some are a little more like that than others, lol So err... See ya on the weekend during our next HECS (or whenever it happens...hopefully, lol)
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Of course it does whatever it wants. But I'll see ya on the weekend of our next HECS (whenever it happens...Hopefully, lol)
