Maestrobjwa

Hey bruh you gettin' too close to Baltimore--back it up! Keep that shield within a 20 mile radius please (or maybe you moving away from the Hertford Zone will reverse the trend )

It must be an extra good day when your perspective is sunnier than mine, lol I'm just tired of seeing people in the south get snow and remaining in the screw zone in my area. It's gotta break one of these days

Snow flurries in Atlanta today It's just flurries but given the SOB (south of Baltimore) storm track that has persisted for most of the decade, it's still annoying nonetheless.

This is exactly why my question was covered in skepticism. These days I mostly ignore strat talk because it's failed so often over the last decade...and the one time it really worked the effects of it were too late for us down herea (February 2018 with effects in March 2018). We did get some first day of Spring snow though so that was kinda funny!

I feel like this "south of Baltimore" storm track of the 8 years favors you more than most of us here, lol I still wanna know why it has been like this but most have said it's kinda random...but how does it repeat that long without a cause?

Now with these SSWs...like, how difficult are they to forecast even a week out? And if they do happen are we able to see it in real time? I ask because it feels like there have been a lot of wild goose chases over the last decade or so!

I'd love to have a new storm track one of the years. The one of the last decade sucks...not even "higher amounts north and west of the city" exists anymore! I find the fact that there is no clear cause rather annoying, lol

Yes it was (and to have that on a snow fat was even better!) That was absolutely insane--remember when we all thought Marlon Brown was gonna be a breakout after that? Lol But that was the craziest 2 mins of all time! And the memory is even sweeter knowing that snow kicked off an epic wall-to-wall winter

Did you mean you would not expect a very cold December, then?

It really says a lot, smh

It really is. Is he out for good now?

I got a real easy approach to tracking this year: If a model shows something that hasn't happened in 10 years...assume it's wrong and toss it

Nah we haven't had the pattern with a less hostile PDO though. The -PDO regime has been a constant the last 10 years. It finally eased up close to positive for a moment last season and lo and behold...we squeezed out more flakes. Not blockbuster by any stretch, but slightly better.

No I'm not close the blinds like in a "dumpster fire" kind of way. Just more in a not expecting something different from what we've seen in a decade kind of way. Like basically the max for this setup (and winter) is advisory-level scenery snow--which is still nice to look at, mind you. I would just love to see a -AO/-NAO pattern in a more favorable regime to finally break the snow drought.

Oh if only it weren't a nina and a -PDO! These looks are useless...er, right?

It seems to me they're relying on Emory Jones to at least replace one of the two. Not sure how strong of a prospect that is.

Ah violists...always the third fiddle

Yeah, unfortunately, it seems everything operationally is verifying on the ground. I am hopeful many lives were saved by residents heeding the advanced warnings. They had several days to plan. It will still be a miracle if the death count doesn't rise, however, despite the more densely populated areas in eastern Jamaica avoiding the eyewall. As you can see in the imagery, there are an overwhelming number of structures deroofed, walls down, or completely destroyed. Any major flooding reports from this?

From 1990-2016 the trend of every 6-7 years was remarkably consistent. As was the trend of getting a footer every 3-4 years. But since then that hasn't meant jack diddly, smh. No reason to bank on it happening until, well...it happens, lol Tbh I wouldn't even want to entertain the idea of the WDI finally winning until we roll the dice with a niño again!

Yeah go west not north--that ain't worked out to well lately, lol

Looks like it spared some foliage as well!

Not quite...if this were winter this would've been a cutter with that track, I believe...

That was a dang 80 mph fast ball right down the middle, lol

"I'll show you hollowed out, jerk!!!* -Melissa, probably.

Something told me this storm wasn't gonna just lay down. There's just something about epic storms like this--they just break the rules, lol