cheese007

Edited title to reflect the D3 SLGT for Wednesday

Tor warning including Tyler, TX

Another week in April, another severe weather setup, this time across much of the central part of TX. Primarily wind/hail at this juncture ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 200900 SPC AC 200900 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CDT Thu Apr 20 2023 Valid 231200Z - 281200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Sunday/Day 4 to Monday/Day 5... A moist airmass will likely remain over south-central Texas on Sunday, possibly advecting northwestward into west-central Texas on Monday. At upper-levels, a trough is forecast to move through the Desert Southwest early in the week. As surface temperatures warm each day, isolated thunderstorm development will be possible in the afternoon and evening. Although instability is forecast to remain relatively weak across most of the southern Plains, mid-level flow may be strong enough for an isolated severe threat. The greatest potential would be in south-central and west-central Texas, along the northern edge of the moist airmass. ...Tuesday/Day 6... On Tuesday, a lead shortwave trough ahead of the upper-level system, is forecast to move eastward into the southern High Plains. Low-level moisture is forecast to advect northward into much of the southern High Plains. It appears that moderate instability could develop across much of the moist sector as surface temperatures warm during the day. Moderate deep-layer shear combined with the instability should be favorable for severe storms. Some solutions suggest that a dryline will setup by afternoon across west-central Texas. Thunderstorms would likely form to the east of the dryline and move eastward across the southern Plains. Under that scenario, the greatest severe threat would be in parts of central and north Texas. Large hail and wind damage would be possible, especially if supercells can develop. ...Wednesday/Day 7 and Thursday/Day 8... An upper-level low is forecast to move across the Four Corners region on Wednesday, opening up into a trough over the southern Plains on Thursday. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible across the moist sector each day as surface temperatures warm. Although a severe threat may develop in areas that become sufficiently unstable, uncertainty is substantial concerning the location of the moist sector. A threat area could be added to either Wednesday or Thursday once this becomes more clear. ..Broyles.. 04/20/2023 CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

Shawnee about to take a direct hit from a pretty nasty circulation

Ryan Pitt has a good size lowering on his stream

Bigtime tor on Reed's stream

Got a set of SPC 15% risks lined up for late week. Nothing wild as of yet but something to watch

Can you explain this a little more/link to what you're talking about? What's the issue with houses being rated EF-5?

Surprised there isn't a thread about this. Day 1 enhanced with a 40/20 probs tornado watch already out

After a bit of a lull on the severe front we have a couple 15% contours out for Friday/Saturday. Friday in particular looks interesting due to th mention of all modes severe and the sig severe contour t Discussion SPC AC 120722 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 AM CDT Wed Apr 12 2023 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN KANSAS...CENTRAL/EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND NORTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of all severe hazards, including very large hail, are possible over portions of eastern Kansas, central/eastern Oklahoma, and north Texas on Friday. ...Portions of the Southern and Central Plains... Broad upper troughing over the western CONUS will continue to gradually move eastward on Friday. A shortwave trough embedded within this larger upper trough is expected to eject into KS/NE during the afternoon, continuing northeastward through the Mid MO Valley during evening. At the surface, a low initially over the western KS/NE border vicinity will likely develop southward/southwestward. A dryline will extend southward from this low across central KS and western OK into western parts of central TX throughout much of the day. Robust low-level moisture advection is anticipated east of this dryline, with low 60s dewpoints likely reaching central OK by Friday evening. Strong capping will be in place during much of the day, but continued moisture advection amid strong diurnal heating is expected to weaken the cap enough for isolated convective initiation during the late afternoon/early evening along the dryline. Moderate bulk shear and steep mid-level lapse rates will support the potential for discrete supercells capable of all severe hazards, including very large hail. Any storms that develop should be able to persist eastward for a few hours before succumbing to nocturnal stabilization. A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible farther north from eastern NE into eastern KS along the cold front during the evening. ...Southern Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic... A shortwave trough will likely track northeastward from the AL/GA vicinity into the Mid-Atlantic on Friday. Modest low-level moisture will be in place ahead of this shortwave and a weak associated surface low, supporting thunderstorms across the region. However, limited diurnal heating and poor lapse rates should temper the overall buoyancy, keeping the severe potential low. ..Mosier.. 04/12/2023 CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z CURRENT UTC TIME: 1732Z (12:32PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 120900 SPC AC 120900 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CDT Wed Apr 12 2023 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... A extensive cold front is forecast to stretch from northwest WI southwestward into the TX Hill Country early D4/Saturday. Medium-range guidance suggests mid 50s dewpoints will extend into southern WI ahead of this front, with low 60s dewpoints reaching into southern IL and mid 60s dewpoints reaching the Mid-South. Steep mid-level lapse rates (i.e. about 7 deg C per km from 700 to 500 mb) will likely cover much of the Mid MS Valley and Mid-South. These lapse rates coupled with mid-60s dewpoints will result in moderate to strong buoyancy ahead of the front. Vertical shear is not expected to be overly strong, but should still support severe storms. Discrete severe storms ahead of the main cold front appear possible, with additional storms likely along the front itself. The best overlap of forcing, shear, and buoyancy is anticipated from the Mid-South into the Lower OH Valley, where a 15% outlook area was delineated. Thunderstorms are possible over the Upper OH Valley and Mid-Atlantic along this front on D5/Sunday as it continues eastward. Low 60s dewpoints may reach as far north as southern PA ahead of the front. A negatively tilted shortwave trough may be moving into the northern Mid-Atlantic as this time as well. Even with these favorable dynamics and moderate low-level moisture, instability is still in question given the poor lapse rates and likely limited heating. These factors limit the predictability at this forecast range. Given the moisture scouring from the previous frontal passage, the severe potential appears low on D6/Monday. Low-level moisture may begin returning on D7/Tuesday ahead of a low-latitude shortwave trough, suggesting some severe potential may materialize early next week. ..Mosier.. 04/12/2023 CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

Half that line formed in like 2 minutes

It's on Arnold's stream rn

Brad Arnold on the Illinois cell and had a mean looking funnel/tor for a hot second

Brad Arnold got a mean looking funnel/possible tor on the Illinois cell for a hot second

Tornado Warning TXC035-217-030045- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0020.230402T2356Z-230403T0045Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 656 PM CDT Sun Apr 2 2023 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Bosque County in central Texas... Southwestern Hill County in central Texas... * Until 745 PM CDT. * At 656 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Meridian, or 10 miles northwest of Clifton, moving southeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Clifton around 715 PM CDT. Laguna Park around 730 PM CDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Womack, Lakewood Harbor, Cayote, Morgan, Cedar Shores and Lakeside Village. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3193 9775 3204 9767 3198 9723 3179 9728 3170 9748 TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 301DEG 26KT 3192 9766 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN $$ Dunn

Confirmed tornado Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 528 PM CDT Sun Apr 2 2023 TXC293-022245- /O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230402T2245Z/ Limestone TX- 528 PM CDT Sun Apr 2 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LIMESTONE COUNTY... At 526 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 12 miles north of Bremond, or 14 miles southwest of Groesbeck, moving northeast at 35 mph. The tornado was located on Highway 14 near Kosse at 5:24 PM. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Thornton and Kosse. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter now! Get to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building and avoid windows. && LAT...LON 3139 9671 3148 9654 3132 9639 3130 9643 3129 9665 TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 246DEG 30KT 3134 9665 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN $$ Barnes

60/40 tor probs geeze

Wild how fast threats surrounding the 4th have escalated

D1 enhanced out, primarily for hail. 5% tor expanded

Wow! Looks like something out of a dream

TOG with TDS heading into Bear Creek Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Birmingham AL 238 AM CDT Sat Apr 1 2023 ALC093-010800- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0039.000000T0000Z-230401T0800Z/ Marion AL- 238 AM CDT Sat Apr 1 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY... At 238 AM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Hackleburg, or 7 miles west of Haleyville, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Hackleburg, Bear Creek, Tessner and Upper Bear Creek Reservoir. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3420 8764 3421 8785 3428 8785 3431 8764 TIME...MOT...LOC 0738Z 267DEG 40KT 3424 8775 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ 40/Sizemore

TDS just southwest of ICC Tupelo

Unbelievable how stout that storm has been

Tor likely coming into Tupelo

PDS Warning including the city Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Memphis TN 113 AM CDT Sat Apr 1 2023 MSC081-115-010645- /O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0064.000000T0000Z-230401T0645Z/ Pontotoc MS-Lee MS- 113 AM CDT Sat Apr 1 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 AM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL PONTOTOC AND CENTRAL LEE COUNTIES... At 112 AM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Pontotoc, moving east at 40 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Tupelo, Pontotoc, Verona, Trace State Park, Tombigbee State Park, Saltillo, Plantersville, Furrs, Algoma, Nixon, Beech Springs, Skyline, Belden, Chiwapa, Mooreville, Palmetto, Eggville, Bissell, Chesterville and Unity. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3428 8902 3442 8855 3415 8855 3418 8902 TIME...MOT...LOC 0612Z 263DEG 36KT 3423 8895 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN $$ MJ