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It would have to be a prodigious rainer with high DP's. 0.50" rain at 37ºF will hardly make a dent in the glacier above and below the ground.

The Washington Monument yesterday morning going from DCA to the office.

Goodness, that's like a Who's Who of greatest hits. I like one of the mets comments in here from earlier this morning. It's a powerful and delicate setup. It'll be fun to see how this unfolds.

Posted in the NE thread but dropping the link here too for posterity. The sound of a sleetfest (turn on sound). Live_80482C1BC46B_1769374332000.mp4

Stop by the New England thread and listen to the Boston crew for a few. It’s entertaining, to say the least.

Looking at the outdoor cams on my house in Clarksburg, all the trees and deck rails and things like that that were covered in snow have been sandblasted free of anything by the sleet. First pic is 8:20am with 6 inches of snow on the ground. Second pic is now with another 2 inches of sleet. Temp is 12°F in the first and 17°F in the second.

For those of you who wonder what a sleetfest sounds like? This is from the house in Clarksburg. 6.3 inches of snow and 1.0 inches of sleet and counting. (Just passed 1 inch of snow here in Charlotte, VT too). Live_80482C1BC46B_1769374332000.mp4

First flakes started to fall here in Charlotte, VT around 20 minutes ago. It took 20 minutes for those first mangled, pixie dust flakes to turn into 1/4 mile visibility snow.

First flakes in Clarksburg! Live_80482C1BC46B_1769309821000.mp4

I know no one will care in here but the DGZ Sunday night here in NW VT for the storm is from 15K ft all the way to the surface on the GFS and up to 20K on the NAM producing large aggregates and a 20-25:1 snow ratio. Incredible. It will be interesting to see how a northern airport (BTV) does for my flight down to DC on Monday. What could possibly go wrong?

I think it's funny that Northern VT, NH and Maine have the lowest totals until you get down to the coastal plain of NC/SC.

Even more shocking is the same can be said for central Maryland, just north of DC. 14 days and the highest high modeled is 27°F. With at least three nights below zero.

Yep. Like I said in the post just above, I like the ingredients at play here. You look at the model output on those runs that show nothing and the somewhat obvious question is; where is the storm that should be right there? I like your phrase, “restoring system”. I am going to steal that.

Yep, I get it. I am actually excited about the ingredients for a significant storm rolling up the coast late next week.

CPC is not buying it. They are going dry, dry, dry eastern half after this storm and have nothing in their experimental heavy snow risk probability map for 30 Jan thru 05 Feb.