Unless it's a big storm with a lot of model consensus, like the 2016 storm had a week out, I think limiting snow maps to inside of 5 days makes sense. I don't know if there is anything that means less than the GEFS snow maps. Totally worthless.
Delay for what, though? Even in my shadiest, coldest spots, there was no ice accumulation on paved surfaces. If we are going to have a delay today, guess we should just start having a delay for any time it rains.
Woke up and was surprised Hoco has a delay. Paved surfaces are just wet, but the trees are encased in ice and the grass is crusty from I’m guessing some kind of sleet and freezing rain combo.
Temp has been steady at 30 for hours according to my weather app but no ice to speak of. Cars are just wet and even the trees don’t seem to have any glaze. I get the ground has been warm leading in but pretty surprised that 30 under darkness isn’t doing anything.
Seems like perhaps the difference between this event and the last ice event that failed and went way north is that there is actual CAD involved this time with high pressure locked in.
This seems likely to follow the path of the previous storm where the GFS kept showing good portions of Maryland getting a significant ice storm and then all winter weather ended up well north of the MD/PA line.
Mainly just flurries here. "Heaver" portion seemed to go just a few miles to my north. Oh well. It was really well-modeled the last couple of days. Needed the PA and NY portions to it down this way. They got a nice event up there.