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Everything posted by osfan24
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
osfan24 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Oh I think it's definitely a disappointment on what it could have been. We've had far too many winters lately where we just miss this and that storm. I get that always happens to some degree and maybe we are paying for that 2009-2016 stretch, but man 2017-2022 has been awful.- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
- cold canada
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January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion
osfan24 replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just saw that Mike Masco video. Loved the line "it's just a matter of if Baltimore and DC are surprised with 6 inches or 10 inches." This guy is a real meteorologist. On TV. -
January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion
osfan24 replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'm surprised anyone is freaking out at this point, at least anyone near 95 and west of there. This is likely to end with bare ground or a dusting. -
January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion
osfan24 replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's warmer than expected. Storm must be coming wayyyy NW lol. -
January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion
osfan24 replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
A couple flakes falling. -
Now that looks better with the trough. Too little, too late, but had we seen a few runs sharpening it up like that, we may have been in business.
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When the Srefs go up, usually means the NAM is about to be an improvement. That said, the only reason they went up if you look at the individual members, at least for BWI, a couple members went really high. Almost all the members are still below the mean of about 2.5 inches.
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It looks worse by a tick, just noise I'm sure, but people posted it was better lol.
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Between Baltimore and the Eastern Shore, the three biggest snowfalls have all been on the Eastern Shore going back to 2017.
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For what?
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4-8 for me from DT. I wish there was a way to wager on his maps.
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Good for who? That low is way too far east for the metros. It's fine for OC.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
osfan24 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Beat me to it. Hard to fathom how much of a weenie Tony Pann is if freaking Justin Berk is calling him out.- 4,130 replies
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We shall see. Just like in sports, the fun part is the game is played and we get to see what happens.
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Yeah, the coastal aspect of the NAM is actually worse than prior runs.
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The NAM has like 2-3 inches of snow from that and it snows for hours and hours. Light rates like that are never going to accumulate, at least not on paved surfaces, when the temp is near freezing during the day. Grass, sure.
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For snow to accumulate, yes it is, unless it is thumping.
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It looks pretty similar to the prior couple of runs to me as to where the low ends up off the coast. We need the trough sharper. And again, it's the NAM. We need almost a due north movement from where it forms off of Florida. If that happened from where it formed we would be in business. The early stuff looks better, but aren't temperatures supposed to be pretty warm on Friday? Not sure how much of that would accumulate.
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Yeah, the low is already too far east for us at 36.
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I don't know why people keep saying they don't know what's going to happen or the models are terrible. You are going to get what you get from a Miller B in a La Nina and models have consistently showed that. If you are west of the bay, you will have the back edge of light snow either over you or just to your east. If you are right along the coast, you will either get a big snowstorm or the big totals will be just out over the ocean and you will get some decent snow. The models have shifted like 50 miles either way for days now. They've done a good job showing you what will generally happen.
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Just a shame they waited until the Euro went from king to useless.
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Yeah, reading the comments was funny with people saying it was going to beautiful and such. Then I saw the panels and was wondering what the excitement was about.
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Bermuda is anxiously awaiting tonight's runs.
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Ha, is he being serious? Maybe he's looking at the wrong run? Boston gets semi-fringed and it's basically a whiff for everybody else.
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Honestly at this point I think it would be hilarious if that was the final outcome.