jbenedet
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Everything posted by jbenedet
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The GEFS guidance teleconnections continues to reflect +NAO/+AO towards ends of the month. Developing -PNA as well... MJO to phase 7. End of the month to first week in april would end up very warm should this verify.. The ensemble guidance isn't on board yet but something will have to start caving very soon...
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49/29 already
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Yea, that's my senses as well. You connect other dots related to population flows/migration and it's pretty damning
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That's worse than higher error. That's "we don't know" data.
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Memories are short. Unless the arctic is open and pointed in our general direction, the significant bias relative to norms should be AN. You're just facing terrible odds otherwise...
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Holy error bars.... Really lose skill after 7 days on this. Wouldn't be using this as a predictor for the end of the month. Not enough skill. Best to just monitor...
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Kind of an irony that a "bad pacific pattern" can actually yield N to BN temperatures in our spring, with the pacific reaching its minimum SST's at this time, and our daily temp averages exceeding this by April. This is all thanks to the ISR which leads the ocean by a few months. In Dec, Jan, Feb a bad pacific is a torch, but that affect disappears by late march. I'm more focused on the NAO/AO phases for that reason...
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The teleconnections aren't flagging cold. +AO, and even the NAO tendency is to a positive phase phase state over next 7 days. GEFS also looks warm.... For 95% of us, start planning for plants and seeding; not your next prospect of accumulating snow.
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Depressing stats for the east. All of the big gains out west. Basically flat for 40 years in the east. 1983, there was 100 million less people in the US...let that sink in.. There's some bias for booming industry here. "it's packed" Yea it is, but because there's also a lot less competition (supply).
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One of you guys should tell the resort—“but at least you guys had a pack in January and February!” and promptly get punched in the face
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Funny talking about a good ski season past tense on March 17… I mean, not to mention it also started very late— the Christmas break skiing was non-existent throughout northern New England. There is nothing good about operating a seasonal business and losing 2 months of potential revenue.
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I’m convinced you forgot what this region’s actual climate is.
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What’s yet. Goddamn are you in politics or what?
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The pack wipe will be ahead of 2024 by tomorrow if we’re not there already…season to date, that is… Another really tough year for the skiiing locations, outside of a maybe a handful of spots north of the wall.
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Sun is fighting to break out. 61/55 here even with overcast.
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The atmosphere is beyond cooked but the clouds keeping most of us this potential capped in the 50’s. No clouds 65+ easily for the region…
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“It was a long winter” Pack wiper 10 days ago. Pile wiper today.
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2025 Lawns & Gardens Thread. Making Lawns Great Again
jbenedet replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I’m generally in strong agreement but a carpet of healthy grass does do a lot to protect the home/building foundation. It’s unnatural but can be practical especially if you have gutter systems directed to handle most of the watering in dry/hot spells. -
Saw first honey bee. 58/40 Farmer’s tan incoming.
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Kinda funny seeing the title here “please end it”; seeing everyone outside majority of days this month. No one wants it to end. Yea the weather could be a lot better… But right outta winter’s grip, full sun and 50’s with light winds scores really high on the endorphins scale. Not my opinion. Just take a walk…
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53/39 Normal for April 15.
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49/37 We April.
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I’m running +7 for the month. It’s impressive given the context of the teleconnections and MJO; not overall. That was my point.
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A coating in December and a March with April averages but it was a long winter.
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If it was in the direct sun it would be reading 50+. You surely are smart enough to know that…but given that you keep saying the same thing…I guess not. It’s funny to think that this is more tainted by sun with the many buildings around…vs where you guys get your obs from open airfields… You guys fail in judgment. You’d have a better argument claiming UHI in a city of 35k.
