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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. A decent bump north from its 12z run though. It does get an inch up to Cape May County now, and I'm sure it will keep trending north tomorrow.
  2. I'll be rooting for warmer temps in mid to late March, but over the next month I'll take every inch I can get. It's a real positive that this event will be happening during the overnight hours when temps will be below freezing. Right now it looks like a 1 to 3 inch event to me, but we can hope that it trends to a 2 to 4.
  3. And 12z Euro gives southern NJ a couple inches Saturday morning. Something to watch.
  4. I have a Cardinal couple that has been living here for 6 or 7 years. They roost in the boxwood bush in front of my house every night. I've been seeing this lovely couple so long that it's hard to imagine life without them, lol.
  5. 12z GFS gives us a couple inches Friday night into Saturday morning. Doesn't look like a major storm, but we have a shot at seeing a light event.
  6. It's coming down at a pretty good clip here. Should be picking up in your area soon as this final band swings through. A little over 5 inches here. A heavier burst with the back edge should get us to between 5 and half and 6. Yesterday I thought we'd be somewhere between 4 and 7, so pretty much what was expected. Not a blockbuster obviously, but a nice moderate snowstorm seems like a great event after getting very little the last couple years. I'm pleased.
  7. Yeah a few days ago I (like most people) thought it was just gonna be a coating to an inch or two mostly on colder surfaces for our aarea. Very happy to get a nice high impact moderate snowstorm. It's been a couple years since we've had to have streets plowed like this.
  8. Yeah it's picking up nicely. I have 5" here so far. I think we should at least be able to get to 6. Beautiful out there with the wet snow coating the trees. Best storm in a long time.
  9. It's a little south of its 12z run with a sharp cutoff for NW New Jersey, but very nice for our area.
  10. He had said that this could be rain up to Albany (lol), so no surprise that he's quiet now.
  11. 12z CMC gives us a decent event on Saturday. Hopefully this is our big week.
  12. Haha reminds me of the Kick The Can episode of The Twilight Zone. Anyway I'm so glad this trended in the right direction and we're actually gonna get lucky. I wasn't too high on this threat a few days ago. Looking good for at least a 4 to 6 inch storm for our area.
  13. Wow Euro. Makes you wonder if the HRRR was onto something with the big solution. Tough forecast obviously ... 12z model runs should give us a better idea.
  14. Glad to see this keeps trending in the right direction. Definitely enough to believe now that it will be more than just a coating to an inch or two for north-central NJ to NYC. I agree that upping it to 2 to 5 looks like a good idea.
  15. Time to enjoy the afternoon and evening on Super Bowl Sunday. Not even gonna look at a crazy 18z NAM run lol. I'll be back to look at the 0z runs.
  16. Yeah I think a coating to 2 inches is a good forecast for our area right now, but hoping it trends a little better so we can increase it to 1 to 3 tomorrow.
  17. Do you think our area can pull off 2 or 3 inches? The significant snow will be to the north, but I'm hoping we can get a couple inches here.
  18. Today's Euro has cold air in place with the storm missing well to the south. Long way to go figure out what's gonna happen, but it looks like our best potential so far this winter.
  19. CMC has the threat next weekend too. At least we have another possibility if Tuesday fails.
  20. CMC changes it over to snow even well south of the city, but the problem is the period of snow is too brief before it pulls out. So it isn't significant. So far the 12z models don't look great. Maybe last night was a tease, but we'll see what Euro shows this afternoon. We know how thread the needle this event is. Some people here have said a slushy inch or two on colder surfaces. Right now I think that's a good early call, but we hope to get lucky with something more significant.
  21. Most of us haven't been impressed with the setup, but who knows. Maybe we're due to get lucky with one after a lousy couple years. I'm still not getting my hopes up too high, but the models did look better tonight. We need a nice snowstorm around here, so let's hope this keeps trending better tomorrow.
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