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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. winterwx21
    CMC is snow to mix to rain for monday night into tuesday. Looks like a pretty good hit of snow before the changeover.
  2. winterwx21
    Yep exactly. You knew the Euro wasn't gonna keep showing the snowstorm solution every run at this range (still 5 days out). All of the models will be flip flopping for awhile. At least we have good potential. If anything this Euro run should increase confidence that the warmer CMC solution is less likely to happen. I like where we are right now.
  3. winterwx21
    Only 6 days to go (lol) but I like the potential here. Hopefully we can get an all snow event for a change.
  4. winterwx21
    Glad to hear that you avoided damage with that limb coming down.
  5. winterwx21
    The winds today are almost as strong as they were during the storm last night for our area. I got 2.48" of rain and wind gusts in the 40s. Obviously a significant storm, but it was kind of meh for our area. Terrible though for other areas that are seeing major flooding.
  6. winterwx21
    Yep seems as if we can always say that 5 days before a potential winter weather event.
  7. winterwx21
    And GFS brings the snow in early Monday evening. CMC has some rain Monday afternoon but snow on Tuesday. Both models give us decent accumulations. A long way to go but early next week looks interesting. Hopefully Euro this afternoon will show something nice.
  8. winterwx21
    Snow to a wintry mix for the coast on this run with decent accumulations. Long way to go but this looks like our best potential of the season so far.
  9. winterwx21
    Up late tonight so I decided to take a look at the Euro, and I see it has a nice snowstorm for next tuesday. A long way to go on that and I know we have 2 annoying cutters to get through before then, but hopefully we'll have something nice to look forward to for next week.
  10. winterwx21
    Nice job with your call. Exactly right for our area.
  11. winterwx21
    I was just outside and some rain is starting to mix in here now. Only a few flakes with sleet and a little rain. Temp up a degree to 34. Looks as if I'm done with accumulation here. 2 inches here. Glad we got to the high end of my prediction. Beautiful scene out there. A couple inches is a small event obviously, but it's much better than getting nothing.
  12. winterwx21
    Sleet starting to mix back in here now too. We're almost done but we're gonna end up close to 2 inches ... pretty nice. As you said, HRRR did a good job this afternoon showing the snow hanging on longer. It was too warm last night into this morning, but its strength is supposed to be very short range so it did its job.
  13. winterwx21
    1.5" here and it has changed back to all snow. Would love to get to 2 inches, which is the high end of what I was expecting.
  14. winterwx21
    It's kinda interesting. You can see the mix line making more progress north through Somerset County but it's getting beaten down a bit in Middlesex County. I'm in northwest Middlesex County not too far from the Somerset border, so that's why I'm seeing some sleet mixing in now.
  15. winterwx21
    More and more sleet mixing in here though. It's a snow-sleet mix currently.
  16. winterwx21
    It's down to light snow here now, and a few sleet pellets mixed in.
  17. winterwx21
    Very heavy snow here now, in the final minutes before the sleet hits.
  18. winterwx21
    A solid half inch here and the snow is really coming down. I see the mix line is getting into central Middlesex County now, so we probably won't have snow too much longer. We should be able to get close to 1 inch though.
  19. winterwx21
    We have a nice little quarter inch coating here and it's snowing moderately. The mix line is moving up into southern Middlesex County now, so I'd be surprised if we get to 3. I'm thinking more like 1, but 2 isn't out of the question. We'll see.
  20. winterwx21
    Yeah it's moving north quickly. The race is on to see if we can get to an inch before it hits.
  21. winterwx21
    34 degrees with moderate snow here, and it's starting to dust the grassy areas. Looks as if we could get a half inch to an inch on colder surfaces here. A minor event here, but I hope folks to the north and west enjoy the snowstorm!
  22. winterwx21
    Yep. A coating to 2 inches on colder surfaces is my call, but it wouldn't surprise me if we see no accumulation at all.
  23. winterwx21
    On the 0z runs the HRRR and RGEM are too warm for northern Middlesex County, but the NAM models say we get some snow. I go into tomorrow expecting little to nothing, but hoping maybe we can squeeze out a slushy inch or two on colder surfaces. Very close call for this area. The central part of Middlesex County looks like all rain while just slightly to the north and west looks like several inches of snow. Right on the borderline here.
  24. winterwx21
    HRRR is in its long range, but right now it's showing about that for our area. Let's hope we can squeeze out a couple inches.
  25. winterwx21
    It was good to see RGEM improve slightly. Our area is on the edge and this looks like what we've been thinking all along -- maybe a slushy inch or two on colder surfaces for our area. Maybe. Wouldn't be surprised if it's just a coating. RGEM has a bit of a warm bias, but as usual it outperformed the NAM big-time. We've seen that so many times in recent years.
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