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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. winterwx21
    To me it still looks like 80 degrees next weekend. The warm pattern that starts wednesday and goes through next weekend might come to an end a little earlier now though, with that trough swinging in during the early part of the week of the 28th. Hopefully we'll get some decent rain from that too, after this long dry stretch.
  2. winterwx21
    Doesn't look like a cooldown on the 26th-27th to me. Models are showing maybe a very brief minor cooldown on friday the 25th after the warmth of the 23rd-24th, and then actually warming back up the weekend of the 26th-27th. Could be looking at 80 degrees sunday the 27th.
  3. winterwx21
    GFS probably overdoing it a little bit, but it does look like a nice warm pattern starting mid next week. Starting wednesday, at least a week of high temps mostly mid 70s to low 80s.
  4. winterwx21
    I think by next tuesday we're already warming back up to low-mid 70s. No question we have a few solidly below normal days this weekend into monday. But other than that, I see a lot of days with high temps well up into the 70s to near 80. Today, wednesday and thursday this week and most of next week after monday. One cool stretch for a few days but otherwise normal to above normal temps.
  5. winterwx21
    We still see plenty of warm days mixed in with the cool ones. After the cool day tomorrow, we're looking at high temps in the upper 70s to near 80 wednesday and thursday. And after the cool weekend into monday, it warms back up mid next week. Next wednesday and thursday look like a repeat of this week with highs close to 80. Still plenty of 80 degree warmth mixed in the cool days.
  6. winterwx21
    I'm Jealous. Just light rain here. Yet again a heavy downpour slides just a few miles south of Piscataway. Don't know what it is that causes that to happen so often.
  7. winterwx21
    Still hardly anything here. One heavy downpour missed just a few miles to the north, going over plainfield. Now it looks as if this next downpour is going to miss us just a few miles to the south. The luck we have getting heavy downpours here in Piscataway is so bad it's almost comical. I've lost count of how many times we missed getting heavy rain by just a couple miles this summer.
  8. winterwx21
    Frustrating that the heavier rain missed this area this morning. Only about a tenth of an inch here. If everything misses this afternoon, we will barely have gotten enough to water the gardens. Frustrating considering the potential this event had. Hopefully the current models are wrong about everything missing to the south and east this afternoon.
  9. winterwx21
    But I see on satellite that more sun should start to break through in the next couple hours. It's just that my father is very fussy about this sort of thing. He's going for a motorcycle ride today and I got a call from him and he was pretty irritated, asking what happened to the sunny day today. LOL. We were not supposed to have hours of mostly cloudy skies like we've had. Still a nice day though.
  10. winterwx21
    It feels great, but the sky conditions are not beautiful like they were supposed to be. A lot of clouds.
  11. winterwx21
    Not nearly as sunny as it was supposed to be today. It's mostly cloudy here.
  12. winterwx21
    That's true. Even though there were signs that the worst of it would miss to the south, northern NJ to NYC was at least supposed to see some scattered downpours today. At least we had that nice storm the other night. It was cool seeing the heavy rain blow sideways with that strong north wind from that storm.
  13. winterwx21
    The problem is the line is heading ESE. So even if it holds together, it will likely miss NYC to the south. All I had here today was sprinkles. The heavy rain event from the remnants of Laura was a bust, but for a few days there certainly were signs that the worst of it would miss to the south. Not a huge suprise that we got nothing.
  14. winterwx21
    Lee Goldberg just showed a futurecast that showed a strong line of storms going through northern Jersey and NYC around 10pm. It's just 1 model and we don't know if it'll be correct, but it's a possibility.
  15. winterwx21
    For days and days the GGEM kept showing sunday as a complete washout. I think most ignored the GGEM rainy solution for sunday because it's a lousy model and all the other models were dry, but maybe it had the right idea for a change.
  16. winterwx21
    And now I'm down to 90. A very hot day for sure, but not the extreme heat that was advertised.
  17. winterwx21
    Can't seem to make it above 95 here. Keeps going back and forth from 93 to 95. A little surprised as I thought we'd see upper 90s today.
  18. winterwx21
    95 with a dewpoint of 67 here. Very hot, but doesn't feel horrible with the humidity not terribly high. I see some models are now showing storms for thursday. That's a change, but I know it's hard to predict convection days in this type of pattern.
  19. winterwx21
    The dewpoint is down to 62 here. I was outside cutting the lawn, and it didn't feel bad at all with the humidity fairly low and a nice breeze. High temp made it to 94 here.
  20. winterwx21
    You keep saying storms with the front wednesday, but right now the models are indicating the front will come through late tuesday. So storms on tuesday but it would be nice with lower humidity wednesday. Unless the timing of the front slows down.
  21. winterwx21
    Thankfully those 12z models were wrong, especially HRRR which really missed this. A great job by wdrag! As others said, a great storm here in northern Middlesex county. Probably the best lightning show in the last couple years along with 40 to 50mph wind gusts and over 2 inches of rain. Really glad we didn't miss out!
  22. winterwx21
    Models for our area aren't as impressive as they looked yesterday. HRRR isn't showing much activity. Looks as if the storms for our area today will be very isolated. At least we have another chance tomorrow if today doesn't deliver.
  23. winterwx21
    I see 18z RGEM has a really nice line of storms for tomorrow. Models like RGEM and HRRR really picking up on the convection for tomorrow that the EC would miss, as you said. Looks like a nice severe weather day tomorrow.
  24. winterwx21
    Yeah, I do too. It definitely makes you feel good about the shape you're in when you can do major running in this type of heat. Most people can't do it, and of course they shouldn't try unless they're in great shape. You really need to be in great shape to do serious running in this type of heat.
  25. winterwx21
    It really makes a big difference when the dewpoints are in the 60s rather than the 70s. I went for outdoor dining for brunch today (pancakes) and it really didn't feel that bad with a dewpoint of 63. In fact I went for a 7 mile run during the evening yesterday when the dewpoint was 67, and it didn't feel bad at all. But when I run when the dewpoint is in the 70s, it really feels hot.
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