sarcean

Charlotte would shut down for a week with that and I would love to see it

can you post CLT?

I actually saw snow 0x this year in Charlotte proper. Last year was the same. Funny how much difference a 30 minute drive can make.

Going to be more 35 degree rain for Charlotte it looks like

Models in agreement that there is lots of (relatively) cold rain coming

My older neighborhood in Charlotte is surrounded by massive pine with willow oak trees all around with atleast 20 50+ foot trees surrounding my property and backyard (with powerlines running through a line of trees) . A ice storm would absolutely devastate the area. All the established neighborhoods of Charlotte are very tree heavy. I remember the terrible ice storm years bac in 2014 when I lived in High Point NC that knocked out power for 4+ days to most of the city.

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I wouldn't be overly bullish about this. The chance of marginal temps making this a potential bust is pretty high.

Even half this storm would paralyze the south (ala Blizzard of 1993). Here in NC they atleast have plows but Georgia has almost none.

Get ready for the snowpocalypse

"In the contiguous U.S. the highest barometric reading is 1064 millibars which was measured at Miles City, Montana, on December 24, 1983" So not impossile but extremely unlikely

Beech got 5 inches so far

Already have lift tickets for Beech Mountain on Sunday. Really hoping for mostly all snow event at that elevation (4500+) as that sleet / frozen rain / ice is not fun. Drive up there will certainly be interesting as will hit different types of precip if these models verify.

Can i cash out now here in Charlotte

Looking at radar there is light snow just west and north of the lake so should eventually start snowing there soon. Too warm to really do much.

From what I have seen around the Charlotte area so far, my day is ruined and my disappointment is immeasurable.

I know it will be a heavy wet snow - what are the liquid to snowfall ratios expected?

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 200 pm: ***The Winter Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Warning for Catawba-NC, Iredell-NC, and Davie-NC. A Winter Storm Warning will also be issued for Rowan-NC. A Winter Weather Advisory will be issued for a tier of forecast zones south of the Warning.*** Latest WV imagery reveals upper cyclone centered over northern Miss., with strongly diffluent flow downstream over much of the Deep South and the TN Valley. As the short wave ridge currently centered over the forecast area shifts east, and the upper low continues to wobble east, forcing and moisture will increase rapidly across our forecast area this evening, with precip chances ramping up quickly across western areas through midnight. Surface ridge extending from surface anticyclone over Ontario will spill into the area through the period, resulting in increasing low level NE flow and gradually advecting lower wet bulb temp air into the forecast area. Having said that, wet bulb temps are already around freezing across much of the NC mtns, and those areas are poised to see primarily snow as precip develops this evening. (The Little TN Valley and adjacent valleys are warmer as usual, and will likely see almost as much RA as wintry precip). Locations east of the mountains will, as usual be more problematic, and will (also as usual) depend upon temperature trends in the lowest 1000` or so. While all locations east of the mtns will more than likely start out with rain, advection of the lower wet bulb air should support a transition to snow along and north of I-40, and in fact, precip should be more frozen than not in those areas. Closer to the I-85 corridor, things get a lot trickier. Guidance generally agrees that mostly rain will be seen closer to the NC/SC border. However, periods of stronger synoptic forcing will support high precip rates at times tonight (classic "cross-hair signature" indicated in model cross sections), and this may force periods of a mix with or transition to SN, although how much that would be able to accumulate is debatable. Another source of uncertainty is the potential for a narrow band of mixed precip, most likely sleet, but a brief period of FZRA can`t be ruled out, as the NAM has been consistent in developing a warm nose, albeit not a particularly strong one near the NC/SC border tonight. Since the NAM usually does a good job in capturing these features, even when other guidance does not, we continue to forecast a region of sleet from the GA/SC/ southern NC mtns into the Piedmont. Forecast accumulation is minimal, but this does create another pitfall for the snow accum forecast. Of greater concern for areas east of the mtns, and especially the Piedmont and I-77 corridor, will be the potential for mesoscale banding during the daylight hours Friday, as deformation zone matures in response to cyclone deepening off the coast. Convection-allowing models, especially those that are NAM-based and even the operational NAM itself depict potential for locally high precip rates, esp across the Piedmont from late morning into the afternoon, possibly resulting in quickly accumulating snowfall, even in areas outside the warning. Of course, predicting where exactly this will (or if it will) set up is akin to predicting where a cluster of thunderstorms will develop 24 hours in advance. Nevertheless, the potential exists for locally intense snowfall rates tomorrow, especially across the Piedmont. In terms of amounts: storm totals are forecast to range from 5 to 9 inches across the NC mtns, except more in the 1-3 inch range across the valleys of far southwest NC and over much of Rabun County GA. Four to six inches are expected across the northern NC foothills, where a developing stout easterly flow is expected to enhance precip rates tonight, while 2-4 inches are generally forecast for the northwest NC Piedmont. General 1-2 inch amounts are forecast in the Advisory areas detailed above, although the southern part of those zones may see little to no accum.

Big change for Mooresville , NC (Lake Norman)! Now calling for 3-6 inches with the latest GSP forecast. Earlier it was an inch or so at most.

I’m near uptown Charlotte and hope I don’t totally miss out here.

City of Atlanta under Tornado warning

Some wild parts to the Forecast Discussion out of Greenville: "Changes happen in earnest late Wednesday afternoon as the forcing moves up from the SW and after sunset as the main surge of moisture arrives. Precipitable water values are expected to rise above 1.5 inches east of the mtns, with some guidance showing all-time high values late Wednesday night/Thursday compared to the climatology at FFC and GSO. Even more impressive are the moisture and water vapor transport anomalies during that time period, which are greater than 3 standard deviations and represent max values in the climatology. Periods of heavy rain are likely from late Wednesday night through Thursday evening as the atmospheric river translates across the region accompanied by strong mid/upper level forcing. There is the potential for 3-5 inches of rain by the time this system exits our region early Friday morning, with even more in the S/SW upslope areas of the mtns. A Flood Watch seems like a foregone conclusion with the scenario presented in the model guidance. However, the main threat will not ramp up until Wednesday night and there remains some uncertainty about the extent of the flood potential, so we will hold off with issuance for the time being. The other problem with be the severe thunderstorm potential, the details of which continue to remain elusive as guidance shows run-to-run inconsistency with the amount of instability. Everyone agrees that shear will be outstanding, on the order of 50-60 kt in a deep layer on Thursday and Thursday evening as a 60-70kt low level jet surges NE out of the Gulf. The GFS and ECMWF have backed off with their depiction of sfc-based CAPE, with both barely registering 100-250 J/kg. Meanwhile, the latest NAM develops better than 500 J/kg to the south of a boundary running along I-85 late Thursday afternoon, but the 03Z SREF shows very low probability of getting the CAPE above that level. Thus, the amount of instability continues to be a limiting factor. Suffice to say, the best chance for severe storms will be along and south/east of I-85, but will the mode be a QLCS with wind damage and isolated tornadoes, or will it be a large band of heavy rain with embedded tornadic supercells? The cold front should cross the region late Thursday and early Friday, bringing an end to the flood/severe threats. Moisture wrapping around a frontal wave will keep precip chances along the TN border into at least Friday morning, while colder air moves in from the NW. Precip will change to snow showers in the upslope areas along the TN border, with some potential for a minor snow accumulation at high elevations. This activity should wind down by sunset on Friday."

we had a good 10-15 minutes of a nice heavy snow shower in Uptown Charlotte. Hope that is not in for the winter...