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sarcean

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Everything posted by sarcean

  1. sarcean
    Every model is saying RAH is being too conservative, this storm is REALLY going to catch some people by surprise. Guess they don't care about calling it safe since the event is on a weekend?
  2. sarcean
    when does the 3K NAM window come into play? isn't it suppose to be quite accurate sniffing our precip types
  3. sarcean
    I know there is a question of how far south and east the snow will get (and how cold it will be) but here in the triad (Greensboro) up to the high country in Boone have been in a great spot nearly every model run by every model . NWS is still calling it conservative with lots of mixed precip in the forecast
  4. sarcean
    I am just waiting for the rug to be pulled out from under this storm but model after model keeps showing the same (more or less). I can't recall this level of model consistently from this far out possibly ever.
  5. sarcean
    I would take that in a heart beat. Would be an incredible storm. I've lived in Greensboro since 2005 and never remember over 10 inches
  6. sarcean
    I would like to cash out and take this to the bank Hell I would be very happy with half that
  7. sarcean
    I guess i can live with a foot+in Greensboro but really hoping Boone / Banner Elk jackpots wifh 2 feet But really the size of that green area is absurd
  8. sarcean
    A few years ago I went up to Snowshoe, West Virginia for the 3 foot blizzard that also hit DC (was something to behold), plan on being in Boone/Banner Elk this weekend. Had never been in snow like that before, One of those things I will remember forever.
  9. sarcean
    Hard to think we are not on the brink of a potentially historic storm for atleast some of North Carolina
  10. sarcean
    I feel relatively confident in Greensboro that there will be enough cold and liquid to make something significant happen
  11. sarcean
    There is so much QPF that there doesn't need to be all snow to be a great storm. With nearly 2" of liquid...even if it is a 6:1 or 8:1 ratio for a decent portion of the event, it will still be significant.
  12. sarcean
    I plan on going to Banner Elk to Sugar Mountain...if I can make it! If these snow totals are even remotely close travel will be damn near impossible past Boone.
  13. sarcean
    Where can I see all the euro ensembles?
  14. sarcean
    Hoping it stays cold enough here in Greensboro / the Triad about 30 miles from the VA border for a mostly snow event
  15. sarcean
    I'm liking what I'm seeing but .... 48 HR Rule - NEVER trust ANY model showing snow in the SE past 48 hours
  16. sarcean
    .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 211 PM Friday... Upgrade to Winter Storm Warning for Forsyth... Guilford... Davidson... Randolph... Alamance... Orange... and Person Counties into Saturday afternoon... Based on satellite, radar, and observational data including heavy wet snow upstream from Jackson to Birmingham to much of western NC (locally already 5-8 inches)... we will upgrade our Northwest Piedmont to a Winter Storm Warning (2-4 inches of wet snow), some locally higher totals possible. The battle of the cold air (very marginal) with surface temperatures just above freezing, and warmer air aloft intruding into mainly eastern NC (or as far west as potentially Greensboro and Lexington this evening), with an initial warm ground have been greatly limiting snowfall accumulations thus far. However, as we lose insolation with nightfall, most guidance suggests snow will continue (very wet) through near sunset, with a potential lull in some areas early to mid evening, before increasing again later tonight. Storm totals of 2-4 slushy inches are possible with locally 5 inches just north of the urban areas of Winston- Salem to Greensboro, and around Roxboro. Roads should be wet to slushy, especially on bridges and overpasses.
  17. sarcean
    Saw NWS upgraded to Winter Storm Warning for Greensboro/Winston
  18. sarcean
    It is 33 in Greensboro and 34 in Winston so it will start sticking very soon.
  19. sarcean
    To the surprise of no one who follows snow storms in our region.
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