sarcean

Beech got 5 inches so far

Already have lift tickets for Beech Mountain on Sunday. Really hoping for mostly all snow event at that elevation (4500+) as that sleet / frozen rain / ice is not fun. Drive up there will certainly be interesting as will hit different types of precip if these models verify.

Can i cash out now here in Charlotte

Looking at radar there is light snow just west and north of the lake so should eventually start snowing there soon. Too warm to really do much.

From what I have seen around the Charlotte area so far, my day is ruined and my disappointment is immeasurable.

I know it will be a heavy wet snow - what are the liquid to snowfall ratios expected?

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 200 pm: ***The Winter Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Warning for Catawba-NC, Iredell-NC, and Davie-NC. A Winter Storm Warning will also be issued for Rowan-NC. A Winter Weather Advisory will be issued for a tier of forecast zones south of the Warning.*** Latest WV imagery reveals upper cyclone centered over northern Miss., with strongly diffluent flow downstream over much of the Deep South and the TN Valley. As the short wave ridge currently centered over the forecast area shifts east, and the upper low continues to wobble east, forcing and moisture will increase rapidly across our forecast area this evening, with precip chances ramping up quickly across western areas through midnight. Surface ridge extending from surface anticyclone over Ontario will spill into the area through the period, resulting in increasing low level NE flow and gradually advecting lower wet bulb temp air into the forecast area. Having said that, wet bulb temps are already around freezing across much of the NC mtns, and those areas are poised to see primarily snow as precip develops this evening. (The Little TN Valley and adjacent valleys are warmer as usual, and will likely see almost as much RA as wintry precip). Locations east of the mountains will, as usual be more problematic, and will (also as usual) depend upon temperature trends in the lowest 1000` or so. While all locations east of the mtns will more than likely start out with rain, advection of the lower wet bulb air should support a transition to snow along and north of I-40, and in fact, precip should be more frozen than not in those areas. Closer to the I-85 corridor, things get a lot trickier. Guidance generally agrees that mostly rain will be seen closer to the NC/SC border. However, periods of stronger synoptic forcing will support high precip rates at times tonight (classic "cross-hair signature" indicated in model cross sections), and this may force periods of a mix with or transition to SN, although how much that would be able to accumulate is debatable. Another source of uncertainty is the potential for a narrow band of mixed precip, most likely sleet, but a brief period of FZRA can`t be ruled out, as the NAM has been consistent in developing a warm nose, albeit not a particularly strong one near the NC/SC border tonight. Since the NAM usually does a good job in capturing these features, even when other guidance does not, we continue to forecast a region of sleet from the GA/SC/ southern NC mtns into the Piedmont. Forecast accumulation is minimal, but this does create another pitfall for the snow accum forecast. Of greater concern for areas east of the mtns, and especially the Piedmont and I-77 corridor, will be the potential for mesoscale banding during the daylight hours Friday, as deformation zone matures in response to cyclone deepening off the coast. Convection-allowing models, especially those that are NAM-based and even the operational NAM itself depict potential for locally high precip rates, esp across the Piedmont from late morning into the afternoon, possibly resulting in quickly accumulating snowfall, even in areas outside the warning. Of course, predicting where exactly this will (or if it will) set up is akin to predicting where a cluster of thunderstorms will develop 24 hours in advance. Nevertheless, the potential exists for locally intense snowfall rates tomorrow, especially across the Piedmont. In terms of amounts: storm totals are forecast to range from 5 to 9 inches across the NC mtns, except more in the 1-3 inch range across the valleys of far southwest NC and over much of Rabun County GA. Four to six inches are expected across the northern NC foothills, where a developing stout easterly flow is expected to enhance precip rates tonight, while 2-4 inches are generally forecast for the northwest NC Piedmont. General 1-2 inch amounts are forecast in the Advisory areas detailed above, although the southern part of those zones may see little to no accum.

Big change for Mooresville , NC (Lake Norman)! Now calling for 3-6 inches with the latest GSP forecast. Earlier it was an inch or so at most.

I’m near uptown Charlotte and hope I don’t totally miss out here.

I'm close to uptown (downtown) Charlotte and good size hail is falling

City of Atlanta under Tornado warning

The big snow will be tonight not the day today

WWA advisory out of GSP: Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston- Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke- Eastern McDowell-Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-Cherokee-York- Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, Advance, Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, Shelby, Kings Mountain, Lincolnton, Crouse, Gastonia, Charlotte, Concord, Kannapolis, Monroe, Trinity, Indian Trail, Weddington, Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, Forest City, Rutherfordton, Spindale, Tryon, Columbus, Mill Spring, Gaffney, Catawba, and Rock Hill 311 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches, with spotty 3 inch accumulations near the I-40 corridor, and amounts around 1/2 inch southeast of I-85. * WHERE...Portions of the eastern Upstate of South Carolina as well as the foothills and Piedmont of western North Carolina. * WHEN...From 10 AM Thursday to midnight EST Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Roads will initially be warm and wet, but with slippery conditions developing as temperatures fall through the day. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread black ice is expected Thursday night into Friday morning as temperatures fall into the 20s. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling.

GSP is being very conservative...when the high amount (1 in 10 chance) is only 1" still for Charlotte

The models are going to move so much today, no reason to put in final call maps yet

Hard to put faith into a map that doesn’t even include a B on it

GSP is being quite conservative

Not the best look

I bet KGSO will cash in regardless but KCLT will have to deal with borderline temps

It's amazing we have the best models there have ever been and they still disagree so much this close to the storm. I was in Greensboro last winter for the 14 inch storm (and was in Boone the same storm when 2 plus feet fell) but kind of doubt anyone gets jackpotted like that. Would love to be proven wrong. Not holding much hope in Charlotte but a few inches would be great

Now give the same odds for Charlotte

Too early to say that yet. I think tommorows model runs will either make or break this for us.

You have to think of it like pure math If there is a 50-90% chance of it happening and only 10% of it exceeding that then you always do it for the more likely scenatio. The NWS knew it was a possibility today but it was didn't expect this rare scenario. It's a delicate balance since you never want to cry wolf.

If anyone deserves snow this season it's you after having so many fantasy snows vanish.