J Paul Gordon

Seems like the Winter 022-023 page is pretty much defunct. I put this up in mid-November and I'm still feeling pretty good about it verifying overall. Don't ask for precise analogs; it's mostly just perception based on living here all my life and experience with torchy Novembers. Just for fun. Maybe a tad too AN for December but we'll see. Snowfall may not be so bad in between Lakes runners and big warmups. Maybe 2-4 AN December with spells in the mid to upper fifties instead of sixties. Guesses based on previous winters that start with a very warm November. Unscientific but probably more likely to pan out than the Old Farmers Almanac. Nov: 6-8 AN; Dec: 4-6 AN; Jan: 1-3 AN; Feb 5-8 AN; March 0-2 BN. In December we'll have some cold snowy outbreaks but a couple of multi-day spells of very high temps (generally low to mid-60s) will skew the month much above normal. The annual "grinch storm" is likely on the ticket. January will be closer to normal with a couple of inland runners with mild, rainy weather and maybe a coastal that will bring snow to much of the interior (and coast Boston northwards); February will be very mild and dry. Normal to below normal temps in March with significant snowfall throughout the region except for the Cape and islands.

Guesses based on previous winters that start with a very warm November. Unscientific but probably more likely to pan out than the Old Farmers Almanac. Nov: 6-8 AN; Dec: 4-6 AN; Jan: 1-3 AN; Feb 5-8 AN; March 0-2 BN. In December we'll have some cold snowy outbreaks but a couple of multi day spells of very high temps (generally low to mid 60s) will skew the month much above normal. The annual "grinch storm" is likely on the ticket. January will be closer to normal with a couple of inland runners with mild, rainy weather and maybe a coastal that will bring snow to much of the interior (and coast Boston northwards); February will be very mild and dry. Normal to below normal temps in March with significant snowfall throughout the region except for the Cape and islands.

Mild but snowy. Looks like December is going to follow the recent pattern at least here. Temps well above normal with a few isolated breaks. I'm dreaming of a mild, wet, green Christmas! lol.

40s and low 50s fine with me during the day in November; frosty nights too. I've had it with +20 AN along with dews in the 60's. Come Thanksgiving bring on the snow. Cold gets to me now that I've passed 65, but there are clothing solutions for that. I guess I like the transitions, I'd just keep the cold season a bit longer. But opinions about weather mean about as much as polls do for elections.

At last, some positive thinking!

61/44 here on the Clinton/Lancaster/Bolton junction. Nearby stations reading in the mid sixties. Got down to 39 last night and had ice on the windshield Sunday morning even though the temp bottomed out at 37. Foliage seems to be quite a bit ahead of recent years, but this might be due to living outside the city. Don't remember so much color in Worcester before the 20th in past years. Foliage is absolutely beautiful here--brilliant oranges and yellows--in spite of expectations that it would be hurt by the summer drought. Nothing like fall in New England.

Looks like about 0.2 to 0.25 in my area. Also looks like Wells area in Maine is going to do well. The "coastal" last week gave us a full day of light rain there. Anyhow, it sure was nice to see it coming down today. Can't wait for that week of rain we're bound to get in October, after the growing season is done.

Whatever the winter will bring, this has not been a "meh" summer in my region. We've had two (separate) weeks with daytime highs 95 or above with drenching humidity (especially the second wee). That's not "meh".

Live in Clinton MA now. Deal with the MWRA gives the town water in return for putting half of it underwater a hundred years ago so we have no restrictions. Wachusett Reservoir is more full now than it was in April. Heat is ridiculous. 96F today here. Got up to 95 in Wells Maine before we left today. This must be getting near record breaking drought/heat combination.

93/63 Dews coming down like the last 3 days. Temp down from high of 99, which seems a bit too much. Figure it might have peaked at 96 around noon. Local temps mostly in 95 to 97 range. So, I either hit my max's early, or, I'm cooler by 3-4 degrees than the other registers in the area (between 1 and 8 miles from my place).

96/71 Heat Index 103 Probably getting close to my high for the day. It seems I hit my high bewteen 11 and 1 here. Sun is not hitting thermometer. Of course, I'm not as accurate as the local broadcasting stations, but my max's have been pretty much spot on for the others in a five to ten mile range heading north and eastwards. A local heat bubble? Higher locations west of the reservoir seem to be 3 or 4 degrees lower some days. A few to my east and northeast at same elevation as me or lower bake a couple of degrees higher.

In the heat bubble again today. High of 95 matches my area and eastward at least through Maynard. Others ranged from 90-93 a little west and south. Again, max rather early in the day. If it weren't for the other local stations reporting essentially the same temps or a degree or two higher, I'd think I'm getting false readings. Before the heat wave I was a couple of degrees lower for max than many. Go figure. Dews were much lower but coming up a bit now. 61F here now, 66F in Lancaster.

Wow! Mammatocumulus. That must be sped up. Looks like the mothership entering the atmosphere or the cloud that led Israel out of Egypt. Great picture and video.

Lot of clouds there or sea breeze of some kind?

Hit 97 here today. Was a bit suspicious of it getting quite that high but there seems to be a blob of really high maximums in my area (looking at reliable stations in the area) between 95 and 99. A little further out and the max's seem to be in the 93-95 range. Is this a microclimate thing? Just moved here (Clinton/Lancaster/Bolton line) from Worcester in April. Real-feel with dews in the mid to upper 70's was 104 at one point. Another thing I've noticed is that my max's come earlier in the day than they did in Worcester. Still see it when I leave work in town and temp back home is 4 or 5 degrees cooler a lot of days, especially when dews are lower than they are right now. If my thermometer (one of those that record temp outside/inside and keep track of it daily and annually but don't send it to my computer or anyone else) was way off from all the others around I'd just think it was because it isn't weather station acceptable, but the local broadcasting station closest to me were higher than those further out in just about all directions.

???? Don't get the relation to my quote you used in realtion to your comment. Temps in the mid 90s here today and over a pretty wide swath of interior Worcester county. Thats 10-15 degrees above normal (ORH on the low side for avg highs; some places near me in the mid 80s on the higher side) 110 in OKC is about 15-17 AN for that area. If we kiss 100 on Sunday we'll be looking at 15-20 AN here. Basically saying that the RELATIVE absolute highs are.... well..... relative. UK example is much more extreme but its source was much drierr (DPs in the mid 40s to mid 50s in London because of Sahara origin). Also, gotta look at the low baseline average temps in the region to start. For us to have 30F AN (110 here; 123-125 in OK) on the line of the UK event would require something almost unimaginable--a source of dry heat that would allow temps to rise that high. Could happen in OK because of a direct SSW flow from Mexico; here GOM and Atlantic moisture would make it tougher. Of course, anything is possible in a warming world--even a redux of Feb 2015 only 5 degrees colder. Just ain't too likely.

Hit 96 here in Clinton today (95 at the closest home station to me) Dewpoint ranged between 74 and 67).

Ummm. I wasn't saying that. It just isn't unique. Its a b**ch of a heat wave, right up there in the top 10 maybe, but it has happened before. Been there when it has. It is absolutely awful to live through a reverse anology might be February 2015 here (though many of us loved it, it was brutal for those who had to find parking spaces in New England cities, pay heating bills, or deal with water running down the inside of their windows because of water damming). As for Climate Change, I'm not even going there--there is no denying it exists, but this is about a WEATHER event. I've been in OKC more than once with temps at 107 which is a whole 3 degrees below the max at Will Roger's on Tuesday. Seen the stupid bank thermometers at 112 a handful of times. Also mentioned the average high is 93-94 in July/August. For persepctive; its analogous to the kind of weather we are experiencing this week right here vs. "normal".

Got the Global Warming part. What is the DLT?

Yup. Awful in OKC. But I spent enough summers there to tell you that it isn't unheard of. Now if it goes above 110, you're really cooking. Not sure what the all time max is but I think its around 115-117 in OKC, maybe 120 for the state. We complain in NE with a two week stretch near 90 (plus or minus a degree or two) but imagine a ten day stretch above 100 (or maybe 14 days in a month that is closing in on 20 day at 100+). Happened a few years back. The normal high is officially 93 in OKC, so you're pretty much looking at a spell like this that drags on for nearly three months with a few breaks down into the mid to high 80's if you're lucky. And in central OK you also have the humidity to contend with. Further west its drier, but hotter and the wind is just dessicating. Oklahoma is not the UK. They're used to it. Doesn't make it any more pleasant.

Long range forecast for Nuuk is pretty much in the normal range. Isn't the heat supposed to move eastwards into Germany?

One of the great things about getting older (old? 66 now! lol) is that you can deal with any particular weather pattern without getting too worked up. Love the lack of sopping wet humidity, but if it comes, just close the windows and turn up the AC for a few days (or just crank up the ceiling fans during the day and put the AC on at night when you really need it to sleep). Huge blizzard, bring it on! The condo plows my driveway (never had that on my old Worcester hill) and the distance between my front door and the drive is maybe 12 feet. Turns to rain? So what. Means I can get out to visit my new grandson. Just ten years ago I'd be blowing a gasket everytime something went "wrong" with the forecast. Now I'm just glad to be seeing the light of day. Never thought it would happen. Doesn't mean I won't be staying up half the night watching the r/s line wiggle its way toward or away from me come December. Just means I won't be staying up ALL night watching.

I'm loving the short hot spells and general warm/low humidity days. Sure, a two week suffocation spell will probably come, but its getting on to mid July and it hasn't happened yet. Just need a little rain. Moved from the city to the country and really notice the cooler nights out here in Clinton/Lancaster MA. Even with the lower elevation the weather is overall cooler than it was in town. By the time I get home from work its already a good 2 - 3 degrees cooler where I am than it was at a higher elevation in the city. We'll see what happens come winter in terms of snow. Further northeast, but lower elevation and (slightly) closer to the coast. On the other hand I'm officially in north Worcester county. LOL Great checking in to see what's being talked about. Often forget the board in the doldrums between May and October.

This will be one of those that ticks south to the coast or over Long Island.

Some pictures from Green Hill Worcester