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J Paul Gordon

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Everything posted by J Paul Gordon

  1. It's amazing that there haven't been more fires. I'm watering our two year old rhododendrons because the leaves are shriveling from the drought. The watering helps. Going to mulch them so the water is retained better. The soil under the leaves in the narrow belt of woods between our place and the road is like dust. I hope that the rain coming our way is enough to put at least a dent in the drought.
  2. 1.5-2.0+ for my location overall. Not devastating by any stretch. Snowfall for Worcester is virtually the same here (-10" to normal) is better than the past few years. So, probably more than our share of cutters, but some real chances for benchmarks, too. I can live with this. I'll make my final 23-25 prediction on April 1st. High 53 here today, current temperature, 39 is the low. DP 21. Unbelievable stretch of extremely dry weather.
  3. Nice to see something other than the Eeyore whining. May not be true, but at least its nice to imagine.
  4. We are six days into the last month of climatological autumn. If November continues toasty, maybe December will start out that way, too. There is no way to predict with any certainty what will happen from Dec 15 on, especially not as we move into deep winter. All that said. Predicting 10" snow totals is doubly ridiculous. It might be the warmest winter ever, but all we need is a confluence of cold and precipitation and we could triple that amount in one big bang. We've done so in the recent past. So, maybe wait until mid January to light one's hair on fire?
  5. Hi 77, low 61 (thus far), DPT 56. Hope this is the last 70+ day until next April. Looks like it will continue to be a very warm November.
  6. High 50, Low 26 Dpt (now) 33 Couple of abnormally warm, almost hot days considering the time of year. Then back to N-AN to unusually warm on the 11th. Average high in my area is in the low 50's. It doesn't go below 50 until the 17th. So, we'll probably end up 4-5 degrees above normal for the month. I think Tip predicted 4+ monthly for the cold season ahead. He'll probably be right for the last month of autumn, and November is a reasonably good predicter for the winter (with numerous exceptions). Long and short of it, another mild winter but not necessarily a bust. If we push the of 4 AN into January we go from a high around 34 to a high around 38. We turn into Boston, not DC. As with all things, we'll just have to wait and see. That's what makes weather here in New England fun as opposed to weather in LA or Orlando.
  7. Absolutely. But when people in the US think of this year's slow hurricane season, they'll be massively influenced by the impact of Helene and Milton. A lot of folks will think of it as the hurricane season from hell. As they say, location, location, location, and it's all about the sensible weather. Thank goodness we measure the "success" of a winter by big snowstorms. We can enjoy watching them from the comfort of our homes, or rage about them as we take two hours to travel five miles on the highway, but most of us will never have the experience of having our homes wiped away and our livelihoods destroyed. Enjoy the weather Wolf, its the only weather we have. And its a lot more fun than politics!
  8. Not calling for just one storm. We will have cold spells, of course, maybe some extended periods ( a week or more) and if they coincide with a good winter storm, that will make it seem like a decent winter. I mean the overall winter looks like it will be warm. If the pattern really sucks and cold spells are of the one or two day order and storms don't coincide, then a lot of people will be (figuratively) jumping off bridges. I won't be one of them. I won't be astonished if everything turns around and we have a slam bang fantastic winter either. It is New England, after all. But the signs are for a warm winter, "warm" being relative to climotology. If we were in Oklahoma City, where my Mom's side of the family hails from, our warm winter would be considered almost apocalyptically snowy and cold.
  9. Another shot at mid 70's next week, with 3 or 4 days above 70. If this pattern keeps up we'll easily surpass 2022 and probably 2011. Not good for winter lovers as both 2011-12 and 2022-23 were remarkably warm throughout. The lack of interest in the winter thread seems to confirm this. No matter, a well placed coldish spell and a good storm is more than possible over the span of the next three or four months.
  10. Hi 72 Low 55 here. Feels about right, but a few degrees cooler than surrounding stations. May be because my thermometer is only about 6 feet off the ground. I'll have to compare it to local readings tomorrow and see if it continues. My car thermometer generally reads 2 or 3 degrees cooler here than locations in town with fewer trees and more concrete. We're on an east facing slope. My thermometer is in the backyard (west side) and there are a lot of trees shading the area.
  11. Wow. Back when the winter board was rocking this time of year. Now the last response on it was this past Monday! That and Mount Tolland's embrace of frostless Octobers and harvesting pumpkin sized tomatoes (his final surrender to the reality of irreversable climate change and the fact that old time New England winters are a thing of the past), is the most convincing evidence I've seen so far that the world is truly heating up.
  12. We'll have cold spells this coming 4++ winter, too. Maybe a couple extending a week or more. If the snow coincides with them we'll remember it as a not so bad winter. Memory plays a huge role in how we see the warming. An above average winter with a few frigid snowy spells can seem better than an average or below average one without snow. There's not a damn thing we can do about it, but putting on sackcloth and ashes this far ahead is kind of sad. And who knows, that 3.3% chance of mighty cold and blizzards galore might just come through. Best to put on the mourning robes a bit further along. JMHO. And, oh, by the way, the oaks in my area (Clinton MA) and on the way up to close our place in Maine were exceptionally bright. It might help some to put on their polaroids (rose color doesn't work) and make believe things are not just plalin sh***y and are only gonna get worse.
  13. Looks like you've got this winter's snow hole already. That and Tip's 4++ every month and the guys who spent a ton of money going south are going to be ticked off that they could have just stayed home and had snowless warmth for free!
  14. Was wondering about the NJ scenario myself before Tip mentioned it. The question is whether its NW NJ or Cape May.
  15. We still have the rest of October and all of November before we even get to the start of climatological winter. Calling (or inferring) 24-25 is already a bust is pretty far out on a limb. Let's wait til February for that. There are lots of good chances for snow and at least short-term (as in weeklong) cold snaps, even if interrupted by warmth.
  16. Glad to catch the positive vibes and joy here.
  17. Drove home to Clinton the long way today, up through Spencer, Paxton, Holden, Princeton, and Sterling. The oaks are stealing the show now, thought there are some maples blazing in the lower elevations (Paxton, Princeton over 1200'). Really beautiful. With all the complaints about dulls and browns in Connecticut, I'm surprised by how lovely it is up here. Mostly golds now (maples, birches, etc.), with the umbers, deep reds/scarlets, yellows, and oranges of the oaks. Guess the little slice of Central Mass (farthest south to central-north) got lucky. High 70 (Ridgefield Condo world in Clinton) low 43. Very frosty in lowlands this morning.
  18. Maples are passing peak now, oaks are starting. 33 low, 60 high here today. First freeze the night before (Wed-Thu) Hi 54, low 31. We've had some frost on grass and roofs for the last three nights. Warm spell coming. Maybe this will be our winter. Cold snaps followed by warm spells. Snow then melt/rain. Kinda of like its always been with exceptions here and there (more warmish ones in the past few years). Even with the over all climate warming trend, it will probably be the same just a couple of degrees higher--especially at night.
  19. Not at all dull. It was beautiful. It was almost all country and small towns. Got up to almost 1200 feet in one place. Came down through Stafford Springs. Bright reds, organges, and yellows. Didn't notice any browns (other than some oaks). Its the same here in Clinton MA. We have a lot of oaks mixed it, so its like having two peaks--maples and others first then the oaks. They are all bright (including the oaks in their own quiet way). You must be in a bad spot, or maybe its in how we tend to see things. I've seen some dull falls, but thisn't one of them IMHO.
  20. Hi 52 Lo 36 currently 50F 34 Dew Drove down Kevin's way on Sunday after church on way to E Longmeadow from Southbridge. Gray day, but the colors were worthy of Vermont. Looked like it was peak. The maples were stunning. Earlier this year than the last several. Here in Clinton, maples are maxing out and oaks are starting to put on their colors (bright reds, oranges, and yellows for them). Again, seems early.
  21. Looks like a cold week relative to normal, then warm from Friday beyond for a couple of weeks. In the old days it was called Indian Summer (for those who have a frost, which looks quite possible). I don't know what the politically correct term is now. Indigenous People's Summer sounds both ridiculous and even more politically incorrect. So, on the actual weather/climate front. We will probably have a weak to practically non-existant La Nina. You can't blame the the Nina/Nino family for the warm spell. But what does it portend for November?
  22. Reached 95% totality here. Temperature dropped from 66 to 60 in the final period. Birds got quiet. Wind died down. The light was truly otherworldly. No describing it and that wasn't even totality.
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