I do think Hollywood makes a couple big plays tonight, maybe one for a touchdown. Wide receivers have been too quiet. Need to get them involved more, other than blocking.
I have been tracking it closely on the EPS runs. It was either side of Xmas with maybe +3 to +5 F for a few days. Now it looks like a couple days of +2. then back to avg and heading downward.
I doubt anyone actually believes them verbatim. Its all for the lolz.
Snow maps imo have little value until inside of 3 days, and even then they need to be objectively interpreted based on surface temps, 700, 850 mb temps, etc.
I'm ok with the advertised EPS progression even though it does dump a piece of the TPV into a developing EPAC trough. Its not a warm pattern by any means as depicted, and as long as the HL blocking is real, it wont necessarily be a shutout period either. As is verbatim, there would be a few days centered on Xmas with temps near/slightly above average for our region.
Yeah as we well know, the "perfect" h5 looks often don't produce. I will take a -AO , a west based -NAO, and a mediocre PAC with a warm neutral/Nino background state and roll with it.
0z EPS continues to expand the area of lower h5 heights eastward across much of the US under the HL block.
Fwiw, temps around Xmas are average to a couple degrees above. With this look, the following week would be moderately colder. No super cold air in our source region though.