0z GFS op for Mid November. I guess it was a 3-run epic -NAO mirage lol.
GEFS still has some +Heights up top but digs a trough out west the last couple runs.
The November edition of the CanSIPS is out. Pretty meh overall, but not as bad as last month. Typical boilerplate Nina look with little to no help in the AO/NAO domain. December and March have the "better" h5 looks. Positive temp anomalies throughout.
Yeah we have seen this many times before in the LR, and it rarely materializes in real time. It gives us some hope for now though, until all our hopes and dreams are dashed by reality lol.
Been tracking this for awhile on the extended GEFS and EPS weeklies for mid to late Nov. Good to see it showing up on recent op and ens runs now that they are in range.
The look on the12z run today would probably suppress the storm track so far south we would miss all the cold rain.
And those trying to establish new grass. Too much of a good thing. Last Fall I had to constantly run the sprinkler, because we couldn't buy a raindrop.
Fall is the best time of the year for doing stuff outdoors. Not even close for me. If the winter ends up being extended Fall- mostly in the 50s/60s- then so be it.. as long as we can get out of this wretched wet pattern. If it's gonna be mild, bring on some abnormally dry.