CAPE

I know. I was being facetious. I think I ended up with a half inch of slop here. eta- that 89 storm was historic in my book. 7" of cold powder here, and big amounts all the way to the beaches. That winter ofc featured a stunning pattern reversal unfortunately. Great Dec though.

What? Where? Last historic snowstorm in Nov here was 1989.

That's what I figured. I took plenty of shots of ice on the bay, esp 2014. I would think Feb 2015 was below avg even for DC. Kinda thought there might have been one DJFM month with negative departures since those winters, but maybe not.

Below "normal" in November is about as good as having a cold April. When was the last time a winter month had negative departures?

Maybe a sneaky snow shower/squall event later this week. Quite a bit of UL energy rotating down with our next winter-like excursion. Only thing I see that is remotely trackable lol.

From the Mount Holly AFD this morning, lol. LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Overview... Find something you love as much as the AO loves being in the positive phase. With most of the hemisphere`s available Arctic air remaining trapped near the pole, a very familiar pattern sets up for the long term as an initially quasi-zonal pattern over the CONUS gives way to a renewed Southeast ridge and a trough over the Plains and Great Lakes.

Not a bad choice if you are going to drink a beer with no flavor and little alcohol.

I'm old like you. I was a child in the 70s too. "Kid" is relative. Today 30 year olds are considered kids lol.

Was probably the same event. I think it was in Feb, 1985? Might be off a year.

The 90 min is a damn good DIPA. More malty than most others, and just a hint of what the 120 is like. You wouldn't think adding another 30 mins to the boil/more hops would make that much difference, but it does. Its obviously more than that(more barley to start with), to get the abv% from 9 to around 18. The 120 is a different beast.

I concur. If the MJO forecasts fail, and absent any significant changes up top(not likely) then its difficult to believe there will be any appreciable changes in the pattern. As always, we wait and see.

That's a familiar look in the E/NPAC at the end of the EPS run. I could speculate about where it might be heading, but I wont.

16 here. Probably the coldest since the period before Xmas.

It's been what, a week or so now since we started to see a "different" looking pattern advertised on the means? Evaluating the modeled look now, to me it still lacks the look we need to increase our snow chances, esp heading into March, excluding a needle threading ofc. We are still seeing a vortex impinging on the EPO space, the mean PAC ridge is still too far west, and no hints of blocking. Maybe there will be some relaxation in the +AO, but it would probably be temporary. So whats really different? In general it's varying degrees of western ridging, depending on the model. GEFS/EPS has it up over western/central Canada. That is certainly a better look than what we have seen, but not sure how sustainable it is, or if it will be much of a net positive on our sensible weather. Unless the tropical forcing shifts, probably a good chance the pattern reverts back to what we have experienced since December, assuming we actually do get some meaningful change. Other than wavelengths, the one thing that could really help the cause is probably not in the cards. Not to worry, we will have our stout -NAO by May.

That area gets more snow than Canaan apparently. I'm going to charter a boat and drop anchor out there. Best chase ever.

RAR is good stuff! Nanticoke Nectar, Bucktown Brown, made with Rise-up Up coffee, 10 layers Stout, and my fav "pumpkin" ale ever, Big Lizz (made with locally grown butternut squash).

Maximized that event here. That has not happened often in recent winters imby lol. Only squall event that beats that one is when I lived in Carroll county back in the 80s as a kid. An all out white out with thunder that ended up with 3-4" in like 45 mins.

For like 5 minutes

Perfectly situated for miller As when we have a sustained -AO/-NAO and a weak/moderate Nino though, which happens once every 15 years.

Don't give up lol

Very cool event. Ended up with 3" here in less than an hour. Kicked off a great late run winter period. If only we could repeat that. Sigh.. 10977720_848937028500358_723062107_n.mp4

I do love the juicy NE IPAs too. Fell in love with those when I took a trip up there last summer. Drank plenty of Long Trail Hazy DIPA. Good stuff.

A Hudson Bay ridge could work tho!. At least we might be able to live vicariously through the northern Carroll county folks.

I get it for 9 a bottle. 12 is a bit insane. Either way, even a cheap SOB like you can afford to try it once.

But the h5 look is... "good". Have faith man.