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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. 57 and breezy here. Feels a bit raw out there. Should get near 80 with a few t-storms possible tomorrow. Wed should be interesting. Quite the battle zone setting up through our region, before warming into the low, maybe mid 80s on Thursday.
  2. DT was aleeting about the first legit heat wave for the MA this week yesterday. Widespread 85-90 deg temps! What? Where? mid 70s to low 80s for 3 days is all I see.
  3. Oh yeah thats right near the school. I go over that way to get chicken parm from La Delizia. I am about 3 miles west of there. I am headed out in a few mins. If i was gonna be home(and my place was a bit more presentable lol), I would invite you to stop by for a drink and a chat. I need to make an effort to get my ass to the next GTG. Anyway tell your sis welcome to the area. Its quaint and quiet. Hope she isn't a big fan of snow
  4. Oh nice. Where abouts? In town? (I hope not lol). Actually, I am being mean, there are some really nice old victorians right in town there.
  5. HI! What brings you to this area?
  6. Looks like a pretty narrow band of 6-9" of snow right along the IL-WI border. North side of Chicago might be in for a heavy paste job.
  7. Best part of this event is occuring now. Moderate rain with that low rolling, long duration, house shaking thunder. So cool. Wish I understood the mechanism better. Also wish my subwoofers could rock the house like that lol.
  8. Was pretty garden variety here. Heavy rain, some wind, and some T&L. Over an inch of rain today with what fell this morning.
  9. Decided to try the DFH fruit-full fort. Talk about a berry laden booze bomb. Damn.
  10. Line rapidly approaching here. Wind really picking up and lots of thunder.
  11. Get out there and get some pics or a vid! looks like it could be really close to your location.
  12. Lots of thunder here. I am west of Easton and its staying mostly just to the east of here.
  13. Really good stuff. Most everything from Troegs is.
  14. I am in Easton but saw that cell on radar. Looked like it went right over my yard. Stuff is popping already. The hodos on some of the meso models show some decent veering and curvature. Later today should be interesting.
  15. Interesting. I have not paid much attention to this admittedly, with a lot of other stuff going on. Just read the AM AFD from Mount Holly... A surface low in the Midwest will continue northeastward today in advance of a southern-stream vort max that is beginning to phase with a digging northern-stream shortwave trough. Amplification and negative tilting will continue through the morning as the large- scale trough approaches the Appalachians by midday. The Mid-Atlantic will be at the nose of a potent midlevel jet streak/vort max this afternoon, with strongly difluent flow in the upper levels favorable for substantial large-scale ascent along and in advance of a surging cold front. A warm front will lift north through the northern Mid- Atlantic today, with the warm sector likely making it through about the southern two-thirds of the CWA or so by early afternoon. Latest convection-allowing model guidance is suggestive of an environment favorable for organized severe storms this afternoon. Forecast soundings indicate backing surface flow as the large-scale system and associated surface low to our northwest deepens within the warm sector this afternoon. Hodographs are strongly indicative of potential for rotating storms. Low-level storm-relative helicity of 200-300 J/kg is not out of the question in advance of the cold front late this afternoon and this evening. In addition, several of the hi-res models develop decent mixed-layer based instability (with mitigating effects near the colder waters, as usual). The resulting CAPE/shear parameter space is adequate for tornadic supercells, though the strong large-scale ascent may favor more of a quasi- linear convective system (QLCS) with embedded transient/rotating storms.
  16. Yeah low 70s, a good 7-8 degrees cooler than yesterday. Plus dews in the low 50s. Hard to complain about that.
  17. "Near" is relative. In the context of a very localized event, that was not near me. And I live NW of Greensboro, so its more like 25 miles. Also the tornado was 2.5 miles south of Federalsburg, so now we are pushing 30. But thanks Yoda!
  18. That's pretty far south of me. I am in the northern part of Caroline county, which is pretty expansive north to south. This was the same event that produced the stronger tornadoes in southern DE I believe, and could have been associated with the same localized cell(s)- which would make sense as that location is pretty close (just NW) of the Seaford/Laurel area.
  19. Days like yesterday and today serve as a reminder of why I need to move further north. I want 60+ days like this, in exchange for the 60+ days of miserable hot and humid ones that are inevitable every spring/summer in our subtropical climate.
  20. That's pretty cool. He does have a distinctive voice. I miss having a 'muscle car'. Been almost a year since I got rid of my srt8. This 2018 Overland I am leasing is so nice though. Loaded- it does everything lol. Plush interior, great sound system, and the V-6 has plenty of power. Plus 24 mpg hwy and takes regular fuel. That's the part that makes me not miss the srt.
  21. Just over an inch here. Hopefully this is winding down and things start to dry out.
  22. Did you see this segment on a recent MotorWeek episode?
  23. Getting waves of torrential rain here this morning. HRRR depiction seems to have verified. My weather station died so no idea how much has fallen. I will go out and check my standard rain gauge later this morning. No wind, no thunder. As expected, the severe threat with this event was nearly non existent for our region, and would turn out to be nothing like last Sunday.
  24. Some showers moving through here now. Doesn't look awfully impressive on radar. I think the second round will be more robust further SW and west, and then possibly right along the coast. Might be a bit in between here. Hoping for a half inch of rain to keep the soil moist. Never expected this to be anything like the Sunday night event. Got 1.2" from that with lots of T&L and gusty winds, with some isolated heavy tree damage/power outages here and there.
  25. Good Friday happy hour. Was thinking red wine. I'm going with a DFH WWS instead. Basically a barley wine.
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