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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. Here is one- although it is 4 letters. MAFI. It is almost always extremely positive.
  2. That MD/DE map has some flaws in it. While interior and upper portions of the Delmarva away from the coast(and not close to either bay) tend to get more snow locally- 18" or so is about right- places right along the coast are too high on that map. More like 10-12" along the immediate coast, including Lewes. Also that area in NE MD near the bay is exaggerated way too low imo. Easton does not average more snow than Elkton.
  3. Roses are red. violets are blue There is no such thing as normal Especially when it comes to you
  4. Get creative psu. You owe us a poem. In an attempt to make yet another pointless Tenman thread epic, it has been hijacked. We are generally keeping the "what went wrong" theme however.
  5. Can you put this in the form of a poem? Thanks!
  6. Stratospheric vortex, consolidated Tightly wound ball of doom Weather weenies migrate to the panic room Bring it to an end The limitless winter gloom
  7. This is true, but let me help you with the rhyming part... Living in the Mid-Atlantic is what went wrong Move north where winters are cold and long Without lots of luck, winters here are brief, and suck
  8. For snow, negative AO is number one In absence, an EPO ridge may mitigate Otherwise DCA is done
  9. Poetry section starts here. Go!
  10. You answered it all in your op. No one knows. It's in the hands of god. NWP is useless hocus-pocus. end thread/
  11. Another awful Tenman thread. Poetry?
  12. Just to expand the futility area a bit, Philly is at 0.3". Their worst snowfall season was 1972-73, recording a trace. As of now, this winter would rank second, just ahead of 1997-98, with 0.8".
  13. The further north you go and/or at higher elevations the less critical it is to have all the weather index "stars" aligned. The upper MW/GLs and NNE can still do okay with the advertised crapola pattern. If the trough does in fact lock in out west then obviously the mountain areas out there will do quite well.
  14. It's a little hard to get a sense of it looking at a composite, but a sustained -NAO (and often a quasi-stationary 50-50 low underneath) produces a true "block" in the flow- basically the opposite of a progressive pattern. Along with a favorable storm track and a more sustained eastern trough, it 'forces' a strengthening coastal low to move more slowly to the NE or ENE under the block.
  15. Many here have probably seen this CWG article by Wes from a few winters ago, but for those who have not, it is very good and explains/discusses the roles of the key indices(AO, NAO, EPO, ENSO, etc) and their impacts on cold and snow for the DC area, and includes insightful scatter diagrams. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/11/12/what-the-different-weather-patterns-might-mean-for-snow-this-winter/
  16. I just made a post, and the thread showed that I made the most recent post, but its not showing up. Something is effed up.
  17. I am right in that hole over the upper Delmarva. No rain here in 2 weeks. Been running the sprinkler but grass still getting torched. Oh well, pretty used to it, as the rain we get this time of year is of the feast/famine variety. With the high sun and typical July heat, my yard cant survive without water for more than a few days.
  18. Noticeably dry here in the past week. Soil getting a bit dusty for the first time in months. I think the last big event was a couple weeks ago with the 2 part deal in late March- mostly rain/sleet here for part one and the heavy wet snow for part 2. Been really nothing significant since then. 0.11" for April.
  19. Yeah the biggest issue with winter drought for most in this forum is it = little snow lol
  20. Cant imagine its still abnormally dry here, but I guess its possible. I ended up with 3.8" for Jan.
  21. Was that the total for the whole event? I saw some reports from southern DE of up to 7" from Friday night alone. I would love to see some other event totals from the lower Delmarva.
  22. Another 20-30 miles NW and I am in the bullseye I sincerely hope SBY and the beaches get 6"+. I had such a great time at Rehoboth for that cold powder bomb in early Jan.
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