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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Days are noticeably longer. It wont be long.
  2. CAPE
    I did the beach chases in Jan 2017 and 18, but both those years were also decent in my yard, esp 2018...right at avg. 2018-2019 was a disappointment, and it has been a disaster since.
  3. CAPE
    I ain't eatin' no chicken without ma damn biscuits. Bring me bugs!
  4. CAPE
    I would sign on the dotted line for 2 (even low end) warning level events through Feb at this point. We are in a motherfuccking rut man.
  5. CAPE
    Things aren't necessarily the same as they once were..
  6. CAPE
    Most of us were not as "smart" as we thought and too gung ho early on. I sucked lol. Nice to see some of the younger posters coming along and adding value to the discussions.
  7. CAPE
    Agree, but you can certainly see the screw potential the last few runs lol. If the blocking is as legit as advertised, its hard to believe one of these waves doesn't end up underneath us.
  8. CAPE
    Just updated today. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml
  9. CAPE
    I agree. You are becoming a solid poster btw. You have done it right- read a lot, and post sparingly. Make your posts count. Good job.
  10. CAPE
    It still does trend towards more of a typical Nina look, but much less so than recent runs. Good sign maybe.
  11. CAPE
    Cobalt kind of 'ed me, but he went out beyond the timeframe where the tool has some decent skill, so not really
  12. CAPE
    I will post this one panel from the new Euro weeklies. It indicates a continuation of the pattern 5-6 days beyond the end of the EPS run. Not much use beyond that timeframe, so we wont go there. It doesn't look terrible though fwiw.
  13. CAPE
    No politics Chuck. Or whatever the fuuck this shit is.
  14. CAPE
    Mount Holly- Another storm system likely approaches the area late next week with potential ptype concerns...however the trending negative PNA and the (related) hints of a building SE ridge, make this setup sub-optimal for snow lovers. WOMP C'mon man, don't be so boilerplate. The potential!
  15. CAPE
    Made it to 50 here. I was outside most of the day. Gorgeous weather. Lay down some rubber?
  16. CAPE
    In the near term yes, but colder air is working southward courtesy of the -EPO. Late next week/weekend is probably our first shot at frozen, but its going to be touchy because of the SER. Beyond that, as advertised, the colder air bleeds eastward and the ridge gets suppressed/shifts west.
  17. CAPE
    Exactly. The important feature(s) to watch are the vortices rotating around under the block. The timing and strength will be critical because with a -PNA there will be a SE ridge to contend with. The interplay between the 50-50 vortex and the SER will largely determine where the thermal boundary sets up.
  18. CAPE
    lol people need to find something else to focus on. The chances are there beginning next week. Disturbances zipping across under the blocking is chaotic, with plenty of uncertainty from one model cycle to the next.
  19. CAPE
    He got his Euro blue and was happy for 12 hours. Time for him to call it a winter.
  20. CAPE
    He should construct one for the DC area.
  21. CAPE
    Gotta like the chances with the persistence up top, despite the Pac doing its best to eff it all up.
  22. CAPE
    More ridging out west and colder air directed eastward is the big take away with that look- not to downplay the continued blocking.
  23. CAPE
    Fwiw, extended GEFS shifts the pesky SE/mid south ridge westward by months end, with a continued very favorable look up top. Pretty good outcome heading into Feb if this happens.
  24. CAPE
    A few random flurries would be ok, but mostly I don't want this game impacted by weather. It could/should be the best game of the divisional round.
  25. CAPE
    It is an evolving situation.
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