CAPE

Some legit heavy snow falling in the Minneapolis area currently. Webcams around there are crappy/lacking.

lol It's probably neutral, not that it matters at hour 816 on a GEFS run.

^That little blue spot off the MA coast is probably a blizzard.

Since we can, why not? The super duper extended GEFS looks blocky for much of November.

Surprise!

Its way out there, but this could be a hefty rain producer, with some potential for severe, and maybe some snow on the backside in the western highlands.

Meanwhile, nice thump of heavy wet snow today for Minneapolis area. First legit snowfall there I believe.

Euro won. Mid to upper 70s the rest of the week.

The NAO is notoriously unpredictable at long leads. One thing we have to go on is persistence. The NAO has been predominately positive during winter for many years.

Go back and read the previous few pages ITT. This has been discussed at length. Also I am not sure anyone is 'canceling' winter. Well maybe Ji has, but he doesn't count.

It will snow this winter. Projected mean patterns are just that. We normally get a few shots each winter. Last winter was an o-fer for most, and while it could happen again this winter, it probably won't. Nina winters don't often produce above avg snow, and can be super frustrating with the typical NS dominant flow/late developing coastals. I will say this again- the last 2 Ninas produced slightly below median, and slightly above avg snowfall here, respectively. Both produced big snowstorms(one was a blizzard) for the immediate coastal plain, with no blocking. Clearly better outcomes than the so called Nino and warm neutral of the past 2 winters for my yard. And yes, while DC-BWI and west missed both of those Nina events, it wouldn't have taken much for better outcomes in those areas. Ofc this is a imby business, so I don't care.

Replacing Yanda is impossible, but I didn't expect the drop off to be as significant as it has. Yesterday was a debacle. Defensively, they could use a pass rusher, but not sure there is anyone out there that they can afford/is an upgrade.(Suggs is out there) Totally agree on WR, and I have been saying this since the offseason. The Ravens have no big bodied targets who Lamar can throw downfield to and trust to make the contested catch. Boykin could be that guy, but he has not impressed at all so far. Wouldn't be surprised if they end up signing Antonio Brown if the passing game cant develop downfield with what they have on the roster. Also, Roman is getting a lot of heat from the fanbase, and I think it is probably happening internally as well at this point. His play calling has been a head scratcher, to put it nicely.

They wont beat the Steelers with the OL playing like is has been- not against that defense. Lucky for the Ravens, they have a bye this week, so they have time to try and fix some issues, then we will see if they can compete with the Steelers. All the pundits thought the Browns could, and they got destroyed.

That's the point I was making.

They could have had 23. When you are down 17-0 early it doesn't make sense to go for 2. But yeah I get that is part of what they do, and you never know how the game is going to evolve.

Defense was lucky early in the game. Big plays were there but the Eagles just managed to miss them all. This is not a dominant defense. They are solid, but gamble a lot to get pressure. Not so much today as the Eagles OL is putrid. Offense hasn't played a smooth game yet. OL is terrible, and Roman has no clue. Wait until they start playing real teams.

Eagles should try kicking extra points once in a while. Game would have been tied.

What a terrible play call on the conversion attempt.

Or maybe Jackson will have a chance to prove he can win with a game on the line.

LOL. I hope this game goes to OT. Ravens need a wake up call. A loss here would force them to look in the mirror.

Oh look, another holding call.

One score game now. Last year the Ravens would pound the ball and run the clock out. Your team likely gets the ball back.

Ravens OL continues to be a mess. Really a disaster today. Ridiculous amount of penalties and still not opening up many running lanes, They better get it fixed or they won't be winning these games against the better teams.

Yeah i mentioned this in the other thread a couple days ago. Even though it lost the HL 'help' for the winter months, the Pacific is decent enough(specifically EPO) to probably give us some cold air delivery at times. Still plenty of time for that idea to fall apart.

GEFS for November 1. Pretty respectable EPAC. This look would start off the month seasonably chilly for the MA.