CAPE

Ravens offense better 'find themselves' in this game, with the defense short handed today. Otherwise it could get pretty ugly. That fumble return for a TD saved them temporarily, but the Colts are doing whatever they want.

The easterly phase of the QBO favors strat warming/weakening of the SPV, and currently it is in the westerly phase, and moving more positive. Unless the SPV couples down to the surface though(disaster), the focus really should be on the TPV, which is broader and more directly influences sensible weather. I still think our best bet for a period of cold air delivery into the east lies with blocking in the EPO domain, like the current CFS runs are suggesting for Jan. If it happens it probably won't last that long, but a 2-3 week period of a mini version of 2013-14 might be our best hope. I will expect a predominant +AO/NAO until I see otherwise in real time.

Love good guitar bands too. This is my fave song from Boston,. Great acoustic intro, and one of the greatest guitar outros of all time IMO.

I enjoy all that stuff, plus Soundgarden, Pearl Jam etc. as well as the newer alt rock bands. Still love me some SOAD too. Nu Metal!

You couldn't pay me enough to be in those crowds, covid or not. The Cure? New Order? I love the Killers and Strokes, who were largely inspired by New Wave/post punk.

Jake Tapper on CNN has scolded them several times today for not distancing. Just did it again in the last 5 minutes. That being said, Biden needs to say something tonight.

Looks like a couple of transient troughs the week of the 16th and maybe the week of the 23rd. We should probably get used to brief cool periods between extended periods of ridging and mild temps.

High of 72 here. 65 currently.

Drinking an Imperial Cannoli Pastry Stout from 1623 Brewing. Good stuff.

Speaking of beer, is it too early? I mean, Founders calls it an All Day IPA for a reason.

Yeah not many opportunities lately. It's almost like I have moved my house to SC or something lol.

There are sources for objective, basic news, without leanings or sensationalism. Most people seem to crave integrated opinion and commentary components that support a particular narrative though.

lol I have an extension ladder. That step ladder has been leaning against that tree for a month. Might put it away today.

Yeah that's my reference for the weather station lol. It needs a good cleaning too. Algae and other green junk been having a good time here lately. No rush to get everything done, since we are in for an extended period of Sept-Oct weather. Eventually we may even see some November weather.

Been out removing leaves. Still very foggy. I revealed the grass under all the leaves, and its nice and green. So is much of my deck lol, after months of above normal rain.

More like stagnant, under a massive upper ridge lol. Not dry here, even though it hasn't rained for a week. Long nights, low sun.

Mid 70s is kinda gross for this time of year. I will probably sweat and get bit by a random mosquito while blowing/mulching leaves.

How's the FD The Fear clone coming along?

Had a glass of wine with dinner and an All Day IPA. Light night for me lol.

True. But banter can be non weather discussion. Beer and stuff.

So quiet in here lately.

Not a fan at all but I wish him the best.

From Mount Holly on the potential for next week- A deep upper trough in place across the southwestern CONUS is forecast to eject northeastward late Monday into Tuesday while TC Eta churns across south Florida or the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The ejecting trough will send a surge of deep tropical moisture associated with Eta poleward by the middle of the week. Eta itself is forecast to remain over the Gulf of Mexico and will presumably dissipate there via strong wind shear by the middle to end of the week. The dynamics and forcing from the trough will arrive across our area into Wednesday as the tropical moisture arrives and, long story short, it looks quite wet. Precipitable water values could surge well above 2", which would shatter November records at IAD and OKX. A first guess at rainfall amounts would be widespread values in the 1-2" range during the Wednesday time frame, however a lot can and will change with regard to the timing and placement of heaviest rain over the coming days.

Mid and late next week still looks potentially active/juicy.