CAPE

Might happen. Cam is probably a one year stop gap in NE. Apparently they are one of the teams exploring a deal for Darnold.

Ravens GM Eric DeCosta after Yannick Ngakoue trade: 'We are not finished building this team'. Gotta love his aggressiveness. He retooled the D on the fly last season when the Ravens were 2-2 and they won 12 straight.

RG3 is decent backup. That is all. I think the WTFs bailed too early on Haskins. Maybe they can work a deal with the jets for Sam Darnold, then give up on him after a few games.

Ngakoue is back home, and he and Calais Campbell are reunited. More versatility and added depth on that DL. Wont have to depend so much on Judon pressuring from the edge now.

Ravens have been busy today. Traded for Yannick Ngakoue and signed Dez Bryant to the practice squad. The latter is a low risk deal, as they are hoping he can be that big bodied physical receiver they lack, esp in the red zone. Wouldn't be surprised if they still pursue AB, or try to make a deal for a TE. Evan Engram would be ideal.

Sunny here in Easton. Feels like mid June out there.

Another day around 80 with dewpoints in the 60s.

It will be interesting to see if the extended range GEFS is on to something, as it continues to advertise increasing h5 heights up top, and especially in the NAO domain towards mid November. Also keeps the Pacific (puke) in check. Some of the MJO forecasts have the tropical convection moving into the W Pac, and then possibly into Phase 8, so that may give some credibility to the idea of increasing high latitude h5 heights down the line.

The guidance continues to forecast lower heights up top on our side of the pole (+AO/NAO) going forward, which is not very conducive to getting cold air delivery into our region. Maybe by the end of next week we see a decent cool down with a flat ridge building in the western US, but that looks pretty iffy.

Outside of Sunday when we briefly get into a cooler E/NE flow, it wont feel much like fall for at least the next week. The eastern ridge quickly builds back early next week, with warmer temps.

Good ol' CFS at range.. December would be acceptable too, with a +PNA, and the -EPO taking shape. Not the likeliest of outcomes in a moderate Nina.

Patchy drizzle before 8am. The drizzle could be heavy at times. Widespread dense fog, mainly before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 77.

The 0z GFS says maybe..

Afternoon AFD from Mt Holly- The relatively quiet weather continues into early Saturday before the front finally approaches later Saturday bringing a chance of showers arriving from west to east late Saturday into Saturday night. Beyond this time the forecast grows increasingly uncertain as there are differences between the forecast models and from one model run to the next. But in the big picture, the baroclinic zone looks to set up along the east coast through early to mid next week as the front washes out or stalls over the area. Additional waves look to move north along it bringing chances for showers/rain most days as the pattern becomes more active and wetter.

Just my opinion, but I think it will take some -EPO episodes to save us from another generally crap winter. I don't see any significant indicators suggestive of a predominant negative AO/NAO, other than possibly solar min, and that correlation is nebulous at best.

Going high gravity for HH (surprise). DFH Fruit-full Fort.

Some legit heavy snow falling in the Minneapolis area currently. Webcams around there are crappy/lacking.

lol It's probably neutral, not that it matters at hour 816 on a GEFS run.

^That little blue spot off the MA coast is probably a blizzard.

Since we can, why not? The super duper extended GEFS looks blocky for much of November.

Surprise!

Its way out there, but this could be a hefty rain producer, with some potential for severe, and maybe some snow on the backside in the western highlands.

Meanwhile, nice thump of heavy wet snow today for Minneapolis area. First legit snowfall there I believe.

Euro won. Mid to upper 70s the rest of the week.

The NAO is notoriously unpredictable at long leads. One thing we have to go on is persistence. The NAO has been predominately positive during winter for many years.