CAPE

This will surely work out well come January.

28.3" here since July 1. 51" for the year so far. Give me a couple months of below normal precip, before juicing up again for Dec. Don't wanna miss out on the cold rain.

1.10" total here. Glad it 'underperformed'. 10.25" for Sept

This is what I use. Its a bit pricey when you have a larger area to do(like I just did) but it is very effective and I despise straw, so worth it.

CFS continues to be pretty gung ho on HL blocking for winter, with the Pac looking decent for December. Even when it gets pretty ugly by Feb, a -NAO saves us from an all out torch. Fwiw ofc.

Curious to see what the new 500 mb anomalies look like. Probably be available in 2-3 days.

0.45" here already today ahead of the main show. Hopefully it underperforms here for once.

Yeah and with Roman's "game plan", there was not much chance they were going to get a lead. Defense was terrible too- no pass rush without blitzing, and breakdowns all over the place in the secondary. This stuff was supposed to have been corrected in the offseason.

Ravens were severely outcoached and outclassed. I am starting to really dislike Roman as OC. That "game plan" was pathetic, and looked a lot like the Titans game. Score easily could have been 42-13. Washington's talented DL will have a field day next week against the Raven's mediocre OL.

Still looking like 1-2" here through Wed. Hopefully no more than that. Sitting at 9.15" for September currently.

Progressive is good. Not looking forward to more heavy rain. Hope it is correct. I am looking forward to Fall weather with abundant sunshine returning later in the week.

Picked up 0.41" of rain overnight. Not sure where it came from. I guess I wasn't paying attention, but last I saw there was a 20% chance of showers.

I may hit 12" by Wed here. Crazy. Pushing 9" now.

I don't think either one of us are crazy about the 12z Euro. Too much over this way and not enough up your way. Cant wait for the cooler and drier weather after this event.

Texans look determined early on in this game. They haven't played great, but cant be happy with their first 3 games being KC. BAL. and PIT. Take it out on the Steelers!

12z CMC keeps the heavy stuff down in eastern VA and NC. A general half to 1.5" for N VA and most of MD. It has been more progressive than the GFS and Euro though, so probably not correct.

Amazing shot! Quite a contrast.

I like the 12z NAM better with the heavier rain distribution.

GFS is trending in the right direction the last few runs for @losetoa6 Way too wet here for my liking though.

73 here and cloudy, but the sun has made brief appearances a few times.

This grossness has overstayed its welcome. Our fall preview period seems pretty far in the rear view mirror, even though its only been a week. A few more days of this garbage and we can get back to some refreshing Canadian air with low dew points.

Have had a few hundredths here overnight. Total since late Friday night is 0.88"

I wish I could send it your way. These late season tiger mosquitoes need to go. I really don't want to have to do a malathion nuke job at this point, but I may have too lol.

I hope the heaviest rain somehow eludes my yard. I really don't want it. NW of I-95 is long overdue.

WPC has the area in a slight risk for excessive rain day 3. From Mount Holly- Hazards: The longer the front stalls or at least slows, the longer our region will be in southerly return flow (resulting in low level moisture advection). Consequently, precipitable water values of 1.5 to 2 inches will be possible, especially over the coastal plains. The 90th percentile of pwat at IAD for late September is about 1.5 inches, so needless to say if this happens, pwats will be well above normal. Additionally the warm cloud layer will likely be very deep for late September. Also, low and mid level flow could be close to parallel of the front, which could increase the threat for training storms/showers. Therefore, will mention the potential for heavy rain in the HWO. However, have chosen to hold off on a flash flood watch at this point given the poor run to run consistency we have seen so far, especially with the timing of the front (timing will be key to the threat for heavy rain).