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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Per the GEFS and GEPS, finally some below normal air in northern/central Canada mid to late month. Lets hope the trough over AK doesn't park there and deepen, and scour it all back out. Then we just need a mechanism to bring it southward.
  2. CAPE
    I actually post less when things start to look like shit. At least for now. Still negotiating with the reaper.
  3. CAPE
    1.25" Currently 44 with the wind picking up a bit.
  4. CAPE
    GEFS doesn't and the lower 48 is all above normal by day 15. There are a few days of slightly below average temps mid month before the puke makes it to the east coast. All subject to change ofc.
  5. CAPE
    Always good to blame the GFS when the synoptic setup is hostile for snow.
  6. CAPE
    Mount Holly is all in on sunny, chilly week, although they mention an outside chance of light rain showers for coastal areas(DE) in their discussion.
  7. CAPE
    Big snow winters during a Nina are extremely rare, but we can do ok at times. The last 2 were decent for most, and very good for the immediate coast with the big coastal scrapers in early January.
  8. CAPE
    Just reminiscing. This seems like some wild ass fantasy now lol.
  9. CAPE
    Yeah there was still solid slush cover here, but the warmer air and snow eating fog had moved in, ahead of the rain.
  10. CAPE
    It's generally mild through Christmas. We are the Mid Atlantic. We only wish we were Maine.
  11. CAPE
    Just an awful hire. He had little to nothing to do with the success at GB. They surely would have been more dominant without his mediocrity.
  12. CAPE
    Maybe this is it, although considering the source, probably not. https://www.newsweek.com/l-comedian-killed-covid-shared-final-video-filthy-hospital-room-1552420
  13. CAPE
    Rg3 on IR. Jackson has not yet been cleared to play the Dallas game. As of now, Trace is the man!
  14. CAPE
    Yeah it feels pretty much the same as always. Drinking a Bells Scotch Ale (winter warmer Xmas type thing). Its decent. Should have bought more stouts instead.
  15. CAPE
    But you can banter here, as long as it doesn't involve politics.
  16. CAPE
    The flurry/sprinkle threat thread seems dead. As I said in the Disco obs thread the other day, after a soaking rain tonight/tomorrow, the cool/dry stretch for the upcoming week will be welcome.
  17. CAPE
    Wow what i have ever done to you? Take your hurt feelings to banter. I like your schtick, if it makes you feel better. Now make an informed and interesting weather based post.
  18. CAPE
    Oh I am not making any proclamations about the character of the winter as a whole. No one on the planet truly knows what is to come over the next few months. In the near term, if the means have the right idea, we may be heading towards a pretty hostile N/EPAC. There are also hints that the NA may be halfway decent at the same time- maybe a weakish east based negative NAO. The best outcome in that scenario (for mid/late Dec) would be avoiding above average temps in the east. Maybe we can hang close to "normal".
  19. CAPE
    Maybe he can expand on this here, or in the winter discussion thread. Some of his general ideas were presented in that CWG article. I am wondering if the back half of winter might be more favorable in the WPO/EPO domains.
  20. CAPE
    What wouldn't last? You mean model projections of -EPO with a deep trough in the east? It didn't last very long lol. A few runs. We will still get our mid month cold shot(probably dry) before the TPV retros into its happy place over AK.
  21. CAPE
    Look at the amplitude and orientation of that ridge. The axis is literally over top the shortwave. I doubt it's even meteorologically possible for it to do anything other than slide straight off the coast.
  22. CAPE
    Not sure why you bother with it. He is who he is, and he will believe what he believes. Facts be damned. Remember when he blamed the DC UHI on a "bad" temperature sensor?
  23. CAPE
    Met winter. We generally don't do actual winter until Jan at the earliest. Somehow, people always manage to forget that.
  24. CAPE
    Plenty of shortwave energy in the northern and southern branch for that period with a western ridge and colder air digging south. No way to know how the the interactions will unfold at this range. There will be the usual extreme run to run variation on the ops.
  25. CAPE
    6z GFS has our snowstorm for the 13th with a trailing wave developing along the cold front.
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