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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    You could have stopped at TRUE.
  2. CAPE
    At least you got a napkin.
  3. CAPE
    I was thinking more along the lines of, who the fucck needs gravy if you are eating a quality piece of beef.
  4. CAPE
    Friday HH sponsored by DFH 120 min IPA.
  5. CAPE
    Like you and I and some others have been saying, blocking patterns require some patience, and even then they don't always pay off. Well they normally do in a Nino, and often in a big way. Not as much in a Nina. We are at the midpoint of Jan, and I believe the conventional wisdom was any snow up until now would have been gravy. Ok, so no gravy... Someone else can continue with this metaphor.
  6. CAPE
    The Ravens are going to pound the ball. Not sure they wouldn't have the advantage if the field did get a bit snow covered. LJ and Dobbins would probably love it.
  7. CAPE
    lol I was just going to post this. Be lucky to see a few flurries during the game.
  8. CAPE
    Days are noticeably longer. It wont be long.
  9. CAPE
    I did the beach chases in Jan 2017 and 18, but both those years were also decent in my yard, esp 2018...right at avg. 2018-2019 was a disappointment, and it has been a disaster since.
  10. CAPE
    I ain't eatin' no chicken without ma damn biscuits. Bring me bugs!
  11. CAPE
    I would sign on the dotted line for 2 (even low end) warning level events through Feb at this point. We are in a motherfuccking rut man.
  12. CAPE
    Things aren't necessarily the same as they once were..
  13. CAPE
    Most of us were not as "smart" as we thought and too gung ho early on. I sucked lol. Nice to see some of the younger posters coming along and adding value to the discussions.
  14. CAPE
    Agree, but you can certainly see the screw potential the last few runs lol. If the blocking is as legit as advertised, its hard to believe one of these waves doesn't end up underneath us.
  15. CAPE
    Just updated today. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml
  16. CAPE
    I agree. You are becoming a solid poster btw. You have done it right- read a lot, and post sparingly. Make your posts count. Good job.
  17. CAPE
    It still does trend towards more of a typical Nina look, but much less so than recent runs. Good sign maybe.
  18. CAPE
    Cobalt kind of 'ed me, but he went out beyond the timeframe where the tool has some decent skill, so not really
  19. CAPE
    I will post this one panel from the new Euro weeklies. It indicates a continuation of the pattern 5-6 days beyond the end of the EPS run. Not much use beyond that timeframe, so we wont go there. It doesn't look terrible though fwiw.
  20. CAPE
    No politics Chuck. Or whatever the fuuck this shit is.
  21. CAPE
    Mount Holly- Another storm system likely approaches the area late next week with potential ptype concerns...however the trending negative PNA and the (related) hints of a building SE ridge, make this setup sub-optimal for snow lovers. WOMP C'mon man, don't be so boilerplate. The potential!
  22. CAPE
    Made it to 50 here. I was outside most of the day. Gorgeous weather. Lay down some rubber?
  23. CAPE
    In the near term yes, but colder air is working southward courtesy of the -EPO. Late next week/weekend is probably our first shot at frozen, but its going to be touchy because of the SER. Beyond that, as advertised, the colder air bleeds eastward and the ridge gets suppressed/shifts west.
  24. CAPE
    Exactly. The important feature(s) to watch are the vortices rotating around under the block. The timing and strength will be critical because with a -PNA there will be a SE ridge to contend with. The interplay between the 50-50 vortex and the SER will largely determine where the thermal boundary sets up.
  25. CAPE
    lol people need to find something else to focus on. The chances are there beginning next week. Disturbances zipping across under the blocking is chaotic, with plenty of uncertainty from one model cycle to the next.
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