CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Lost the potato chip flakes but still coming down hard.
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Eyeballing about 3" now. Crazy rates.
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It all about the lift, with the column cold outside of the immediate surface. Sadly the post I made yesterday of the NAM depiction with it 32-33 and puking snow here and 36 and drizzle there turned out to be pretty accurate. Sorry man! Your area has a better chance with the late week deal, although it may be more icy than snowy.
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LOL thanks. It goes hot and cold here, like most places outside of the favored locations. WDI is hopefully kicking in now. Defo been on a heater with precip here since July. Need to translate that run to some frozen.
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Last time I saw snow falling like this was the mid March 2018 storm.
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Lets hope it stays stationary for a awhile.
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Over an inch here now. Beautiful aggregates.
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This is the area the mesos have been keying on, and where I think the best chances are for a few inches. I am hoping I can hang onto this for a while, but the better lift is probably going to focus more to my east.
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I need it to keep doing what it is doing out there now for a few hours. 32 and pouring massive dendrites. Best looking snow I have seen in years.
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It can work out, but this storm ended up a bit weaker and also trended SE. I guess the GFS was on to it. I have the the rates now. Just need to keep this for about 3 hours to get some decent results. Temp right at 32 now.
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We need legit cold in place in the metros/lowlands to really cash in the majority of the time.
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I refuse to look at the radar. For all I know I might be on the back edge, but knowing that would ruin it. I wish I hadn't seen the mesos this morning, as they didn't look too good for here. I just hope I can get a solid coating to an inch. And yeah congrats to the usual people in the favored places.
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Beautiful dendrites here now. Temp at 33. Ground is whitening quickly despite 3 hours of freaking rain. Hopefully it keeps going like this for a while. I am not looking at radar or a short range model. Just looking out the window at what is transpiring, and enjoying whatever I get.
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They don't call it Ridge Rd for nothing.
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All snow now with medium to large flakeage. Temp down to 34. Too bad the ground is soaking wet lol. Starting to see a little slush on the deck.
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This is why I always want legit cold leading in. Had it last week, but the system was a discombobulated mess so the second part didn't do much outside of NW areas.
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I would be thrilled with an inch at this point. If the banding cooperates over this way I might do ok. Dont like seeing it translate mostly to my SE on guidance though.
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I got a lot more than I expected. Weaker/slower developing system and easterly flow FTL.
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Wasted 0.22" on rain here. White rain now lol. Some big flakes coming down but still too warm to stick. Down to 35.
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Snow mixing in here now finally. Temp is 36.
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Winds have shifted from straight out of the east to more NE now that the low is getting going. Temp dropped a degree. See what happens now. Maybe..
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Yup. I just have a feeling once the low gets going, the best forcing/bands will develop more to my east over DE and SNJ. Models have trended that way. Hopefully I can get in on some of it.
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Yeah this is the key for the coastal plain a bit later. Always has been, but with a weaker system than previously forecast, and somewhat more easterly track, it remains to be seen where and to what extent this occurs.
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I can verify this statement lol.
