Jump to content

CAPE

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    34,289

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Has the HRRR dried up the front end yet?
  2. CAPE
    I have had a few of their ales but not been there yet. Yea we should meet up.
  3. CAPE
    This is good stuff.
  4. CAPE
    lol ofc.
  5. CAPE
    Not sure the norther trends wont continue at 0z for the fgen banding from the coastal. Probably will. I just hope the waa part can produce a solid event, as I have had all my eggs in that basket from the beginning anyway.
  6. CAPE
    One thing I have learned over the years- when there is this much uncertainty/disparity across guidance this close to the event- go with the under. It is a nearly a 100% hit.
  7. CAPE
    It's not on to something, but it is ON something.
  8. CAPE
    @JakkelWx Did you notice Mount Holly went advisory for here? Not that it matters, but an indication of the uncertainty. Our county is expansive N to S, but we are both very close to Queens Anne's county, which has a WSW, and the forecast snow amounts are the same.
  9. CAPE
    HH GFS was kind of a shit run overall though. It has been the worst of the models for here.
  10. CAPE
    NE MD P U M M E L E D
  11. CAPE
    It is fun to look at but its absurd and will not ever come close to verifying.
  12. CAPE
    That's not an awful look even for interior NC. If that block is as advertised, and going with seasonal trends, that ridge may well verify flatter. As for my brother, he has already stolen all my snow so far lol.
  13. CAPE
    Dude getting an extremely favorable AO/NAO in Feb is entirely different than having it in mid Dec, plus we have the TPV on our side and some legit cold in our source region. It likes to snow in Feb anyway. As long as the Pac is serviceable, there will be some legit chances ahead with the advertised HL look.
  14. CAPE
    This is weenie stuff.
  15. CAPE
    This period continues to look intriguing. I mean, damn. Pretty decent look at h5.
  16. CAPE
    Yeah this is not a new thing. Pretty normal in WAA events with cold in place but relaxing, and ofc there are additional issues with the transfer to the coastal. If anyone is surprised that this will not be a pure snow event almost everywhere, they have probably spent way too much time gawking at dumb snow maps.
  17. CAPE
    Dunno. We will warm above 0 at 850 for a time, so it all depends on how much warming we see at the surface, and how much precip falls during that period. All guidance has us at least into the mid 30s on Monday.
  18. CAPE
    34/11 Probable outcome for my yard- Cold powder to wet snow, sleet, snizzle, and drizzle, a dryslot, then some rain, wet snow and maybe cold powder on the back end. Let's git it.
  19. CAPE
    NE MD pummeled?
  20. CAPE
    12z Euro was pretty sweet. If it and the CMC are more correct than the GFS, we should all be pretty happy. Biggest issue will be temps after the thump- mid to upper 30s for a few hours isn't too bad with some light rain falling, but the GFS likes low 40s and even has some heavy rain before the cold comes back in. Hopefully its wrong and wont get that warm for that long, but we know how that goes with a developing coastal low and stiff east winds off the Atlantic.
  21. CAPE
    Yup and the top layer of soil is dry as a bone for the first time here in many months, not to mention it's been frozen the last few days.
  22. CAPE
    Yeah the CMC had it, more so on the 0z run, and I thought the GFS was going there but it was just light stuff.
  23. CAPE
    Like.
  24. CAPE
    We lost 5-6" from the 0z run lol. The banding on the back side was better for our area than 12z.
  25. CAPE
    Hugging the crap out of the Canadians.
×
×
  • Create New...