CAPE

There are very few reasons not to get it. Other than misinformation. FFS.

There is literally no reason to not get vaccinated when it is available to you. Everyone wants to get back to normal- well, this is the way to do it. Don't complain if you aren't willing to get a simple shot in the arm that can end this fuucking thing.

Draftkings agree. 64.5. https://dknation.draftkings.com/2021/2/18/22290173/mlb-win-totals-2021-odds-dodgers-yankees-padres-pirates-rockies-orioles-full-list Either way, they are a bottom 5 team in all likelihood.

Since no one responded to my over-under 60 question. I will take the under. Pitching is where its at in MLB, and I just don't see it with the Os. 54 wins.

The Os are a a little tough. Not the hill to die on for making that case lmao. Not a sour fan but that sounds good. I mostly don't like them because I am a high gravity man

I teach professional mariners who travel from all parts of the country. They test before they launch on their journey( kinda useless) and then we are all together in a classroom for 6 hours a day. We follow all the protocols- mask up etc, and no issues so far. I probably could get myself bumped up, but I will wait my turn. I am healthy/no underlying conditions. The way things are looking, it will probably be another month or so. I would rather get the J&J single shot anyway.

Love Mt Holly. Their updated AFD is perfect, but I had to laugh that they made no mention of the shift in the forecast from possible early week snow(albeit totally insignificant and they never were impressed with the potential). Monday and Tuesday will feature cooler than normal temperatures with mostly dry conditions Monday and a chance for rain on Tuesday. An approaching low/front will contribute to the added clouds and rains for Tuesday. There are some timing differences amongst the models, so keeping the chc pops seems to make sense for now. Wednesday/Thursday will have the unsettled conditions continuing since an upper low/trough will be approaching from the Midwest. Many of the models are making a stronger system compared to the early week system. It`s not out of the question that some heavier rains may occur with it. Temperatures for the middle of the week will return to more normal readings with highs mostly in the upper 40s/low 50s.

71 here. This dry period has been much needed. Driveway has been saved, and solid enough to fill in the low spots and get some new stone down. The wetland on the back 40(more like 4) has receded some, so the first dose of larvicide might be a reasonable task. Might hit it this weekend.

This DFH 120 min lasted 4 days in my Fridge. It wont last another. HHH!

Snippet from the Denver AFD this morning.. sounds fun: The storm total snowfall forecasts were a mix of the global ensembles with lower weight placed on the GEFS. Amounts in the Denver metro are in the 15-25 inch range with Boulder and Fort Collins in the 20-30 inch range. The foothills will see the highest amounts with 2 to 4 feet likely. Given a more southerly track of this system, it would not surprise me to see a location or two in the northern foothills reach 5 feet. The area of highest uncertainty with regards to impacts will be the eastern plains. Amounts could be below Winter Storm Warning criteria there if the warmer solutions pan out. Or those areas could see close to a foot of snow with high impacts. There is high confidence in the impacts for the urban corridor and foothills with nearly impossible travel conditions Saturday night and Sunday. The Winter Storm Watch was kept due to the uncertainty with snowfall amounts with this storm especially farther east.

Lists are subjective. Definitely some good bands on there.

Clown Core is better.

Nickelback is pretty awful. Coldplay is worse.

All travel restrictions should be lifted, and I am talking international too. Any variant that pops up outside the US ends up here anyway, because there are plenty of exemptions for those restrictions- just not for the majority who would like to travel.

over-under 60 wins for the Os? I haven't paid much attention, but unless they have several pitching prospects that are ready to step up, who they got than can get outs?

GEFS Trending... Means are generally warmer with more ridging out in front of the closed low in the central US, and the press from the NA vortex is weaker as it is further east, more notably on the EPS. Hard to win with this setup esp in mid March, as relaxation in the confluence might allow any wave propagating eastward to not be completely shredded, but it will be warmer and the precip will probably still be on the light side. EPS has an inch or less of snow fwiw.

Yeah its a very solid stout and cost effective.

Just got home and its 65 here. Beautiful out.

Oh it isn't done yet. And wait until the poor VA weenies see their GFS snow for next week dwindle to next to nothing over the next few runs. I am sure they know better.

I know. And even though it was obvious I was trolling and never want to see it posted here again, it will surely appear.

Can we get a control run up in here?

I did have that one. Pretty much everything Founders does is good. This one doesn't deviate. It was just a tad on the sweet side iirc, but again, they almost never miss the mark. They always seem to get the background flavors just right- nothing too forward. Try the Panther Cub if you see that one. Very good.

Means are colder and flatter, but also crushed in the confluence and weakish/suppressed. EPS/GEFS/GEPS all showing a little something precip wise early next week. Snow maps have an inch or 2, GEFS has more ofc and likes VA, as does the op. Worth tracking but these damping waves running into confluence didn't yield much in the heart of winter, and it will be mid March. Need some legit ascent/rates this time of year.

This goes back to my "pick your path to defeat" post of yesterday am. Now we back to that shitt. Either way, Its not happening!!