CAPE

Still looking pretty interesting on the means beginning around the 15th, with ridging in the EPO/WPO domains, displaced TPV lobes, and with a neutral/negative PNA it looks like some southern waves ejecting eastward. Late, but maybe.. Probably the NW crew should be turned on at the thought of padding their already impressive snow totals.

It is interesting to look back on the large magnitude busts that were possible not that long ago. The modeling wasn't quite good enough back then in setups with subtle/complex interactions and timing of phases. As I recall there was a strong NS vortex rotating down and phasing with a southern stream wave, and the guidance had it occurring earlier- pretty much perfectly timed for the MA. In the end the southern wave wasn't captured until later, so it all came together further NE. We had the surprise big snowstorm in Jan the winter before that where guidance all had it staying south until within 24 hours. Huge forecast busts like those are much less likely to happen today.

https://www.inquirer.com/news/john-bolaris-storm-forecast-bust-snow-march-2001-20210304.html

Haven't had that one for a while either. Good stuff. And sure thing lol. I have a feeling the only WWS that's available right now is the one I found, but never hurts to look.

When I was GC I never paid anything up front. The construction loan required a commitment of materials delivered/services rendered, then verification of work completed before any funds were released for payment. The contractors all seemed familiar with the process and never had an issue with it.

We can work something out. Why don't you call around up there and see if you can find the original or the Bourbon barrel aged one, then we can meet up and do a mix/match trade.

Called Wishing Well in Easton and they have a few 4 packs of the Oak aged vanilla WWS from 2017. That one is very good but the original is better imo, and the Bourbon Barrel aged one is awesome too. So hard to find. I will take what I can get though lol. Plus it is extra aged so might be even better. Might swing by there Monday.

Kinda sad the original DFH WWS is nowhere to be found these days. It is simply the best high gravity stout ever- and some would probably characterize it as a barleywine. I miss that stuff. I bet there are a few places that might still have a few on the shelf- probably Atlantic Liquors in Rehoboth. I am sure its available down there on tap at C&M too.

Currently 40 after a high of 42. Very nice day.

Was outside pulling chickweed from the beds, put down some preen, and started putting in some fresh mulch. That March sun gets shit coming alive despite the cold. Saw some small spiders sunning on the rocks and bluestone pavers.

Yep. For me it was mostly dealing with company doing the construction of the foundation and the shell of the log home. I also subbed out the HVAC, plumbing, ofc septic and well, and the rough electrical. Hired an Amish stone mason to do the fireplace. Me and my dad did the rest. The electrical is tricky with a log home esp on the exterior walls and any wire run for lighting fixtures that can't be pulled through the interior walls. Has to be well planned and the workers stacking the logs have to pay close attention to the rough electrical diagrams for location of outlets and light switches on the perimeter walls as they go. A bit tricky having solid walls, and pretty hard to go back and rectify it if they miss something. I drew up all the plans, and the guy I hired to do the rough electrical worked well with the guys constructing the shell to make sure it was done per the the plan. I got lots of calls while at work but most everything was resolved without me having to show up on site. eta- the only 'fix' is to run wiremold on the walls

Only story I can offer is myself acting as GC when building my house, so a different perspective. It was a challenge at times trying to keep contractors lined up and on schedule, and I had to randomly leave work and run to the site sometimes to resolve some issue or conflict. There was an odd issue between the plumber and the company installing the septic system about whose responsibility it was to actually make the connection to the tank lol. I ended up helping the Septic system installer to get it done. It all turned out okay and it is nice to be the one in control of the completion of your own house, but definitely stressful and not sure I would do it again. I did a lot of the finished work myself with my dad helping, so the last stage was all on me keeping on schedule to get it completed on time per the construction loan. Pretty much all I did for months when I wasn't at work.

Models need to cut back on the drinking and laughing at each other. That's rude.

Ravens are leading the way with ideas on a bold change to overtime rules, and improving on field officiating.

No sign of a ridge bridge on the mean in that timeframe but roll this forward a day or 2 and there is a decent look with ridging out west, cold pressing, and the SE ridge flattened. As I posted this morning the best potential for something wintry appears to be from around the 15th and esp beyond.. St Patty's day storm!

(Ok, now it's in the right thread lol.) Friday, 3pm. Must be Happy Hour. Oooh this is good. Really good.

I was obsessed with Speed Racer. Loved the Mammoth car episodes lol.

Mondy the sea monster.

A little late in the game but the next advertised 'good' look on the EPS is the period from around St Patty's day heading towards the Equinox.

I drank a ho hum 120 for HH. Picked this up today from Founders: The 2021 Barrel-Aged Series will kick-off with Panther Cub, a robust porter in March 2021. Panther Cub (9.2% ABV) is aged in the finest bourbon barrels available along with a kiss of maple syrup and vanilla extract. The aroma of maple and vanilla combine with a surprisingly deep character to make this rare creature one to gaze upon fondly. For Friday HH!

After a beautiful day in the low 50s, wind picking up now and temp down to 47.

I think I am going to put some grass seed down this weekend in the random patches where it didn't come in very well last fall. Just going to loosen the soil and bury it an inch or so under. Wont germinate right away but should do fine and start coming up the last week of March. Pretty confident the weather will cooperate. Did this last year around the 10th of March and it worked out well.

I don't see why not. I prefer the mulch to all have a darker and more consistent 'seasoned' look, so I just buy hardwood mulch. If you don't care about the aesthetics, then sure use it.

Yeah wind is about the only thing to track the next few days lol. It will certainly feel like winter this weekend, but under full March sun it should be pretty comfortable for outside activities during the day.