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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    lol Harbaugh.
  2. CAPE
    Browns rushed for 178 today. Defense came up very small, especially in the second half. Lamar was mediocre and the passing game is still too inconsistent.
  3. CAPE
    Browns just looked bigger and faster. Their 2 backup O-linemen were better than the Ravens 2. Their D is clearly number one. Things change quickly in this league.
  4. CAPE
    By the numbers the 0z EPS at the end of the run has a significantly-EPO/WPO, AO is neutral/slightly negative, NAO slightly positive, -PNA. GEPS is similar. GEFS trends the PNA into positive territory by day 15.
  5. CAPE
    This is the reason I am paying attention to the ens runs towards the end of the month- to get an idea how the pattern progresses as we head into the beginning of winter.
  6. CAPE
    Even with the h5 looks of the last few runs the EPS had a mild Thanksgiving. GEFS looked colder, but has since trended milder. I mean, what are we looking for exactly lol. Right now it looks pretty dry with temps 55-60. Nice weather to fry a turkey or whatever.
  7. CAPE
    I could see a little snow towards the end of Dec. We were close last winter, but ofc Ninas almost always find a way to screw this region, esp early. Ninos otoh, tend to find a way to work for the MA.
  8. CAPE
    I would expect Dec to be what it usually is, regardless of ENSO state.
  9. CAPE
    lol Ji got it. Chill.
  10. CAPE
    Just having a little fun with EJ. The extended products are pretty much complete crap beyond maybe a week past the end of the ensemble runs. No one knows what mid Dec will look like.
  11. CAPE
    Currently 41 at 7pm
  12. CAPE
    GEFS extended-
  13. CAPE
    But you got EJ all excited with the "really interesting!!!'. He thought it suggested an early season blizzard or vodka cold or something.
  14. CAPE
    Maybe read the thread a little before making cryptic hyperbolic posts about things that have been rationally discussed several hours earlier lol.
  15. CAPE
    The EPS h5 look for that period was discussed this morning. The latest run looks much like 0z, which trended better from 12z yesterday. Not much else to say, other than lets hope we see a similar look when it can actually snow east of Canaan.
  16. CAPE
    A tenth here. Its pretty darn dry. We should see the Nino STJ start to juice things up in the next few weeks.
  17. CAPE
    High of 55 here. Currently 50. temps should drop quickly this evening with barely a breeze and a mostly clear sky. Could be a bit more in the way of clouds later. Might get near freezing here, but I doubt lower than that. Tomorrow night should be colder.
  18. CAPE
    36
  19. CAPE
    There is a tiny, sporadic signal on the means suggesting some flakes could fly during that period. Good bet for the western ridge with cold upslope flow in the wake of an early week storm. EPS is less bullish on a cold Turkey day.
  20. CAPE
    Over multiple runs on the 3 ensemble means, it appears the N Pacific is reshuffling into a -EPO/neutral-ish PNA look. I wouldn't mind if that pattern locks in. On the Atlantic side, it looks like any ridging in the NAO domain will be transient in nature heading into December. Something to keep any eye on, but for now the AO/NAO looks to remain close to neutral.
  21. CAPE
    EPS has been trending towards a nice high latitude look in the LR over the past few runs.
  22. CAPE
    Check out my profile pic. Pretty close.
  23. CAPE
    Admittedly pretty fun to look at at HH, with a bit of weed. Totally weenie tho.
  24. CAPE
    Here is one on mine. Funny read. Replies include one from DT lol. These dudes throw around terms/acronyms like 'downwelling kelvin waves' and WWB left and right, but its unclear if they truly understand the complexities/ ramifications of any of it. My guess is mostly no. Hyperbolic for the clicks is the game. Comical.
  25. CAPE
    The advertised pattern for the end of the month into the beginning of Dec is one we would love to see more of going forward. Verbatim there will probably be some snow for the western highlands, and not out of the question that places just west of the Fall line see a bit of snow during this period. Looks seasonably chilly at the very least.
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