CAPE

He is pretty steady with posting the snow maps, so probably not needed lol.

I actually predicted that this is what you would post right before you posted the snow probs and total snow map lol.

Some of that for the NW areas is for the late week deal, which we know is going to be slop.

Looking through the p-type panels for the GEFS members, pretty active period between Dec 22-28. I am sure WW will be along shortly to post the mean snow map for the 7 days ending on the 28th.

Fwiw the GEFS extended keeps the same general longwave pattern in place with below average temps through the end of the run- mid Jan.

Outside of possible freezing/frozen at onset for NW areas, this looks like a potentially heavy rain event with 1-2", and the wind- especially for eastern areas- could gust to 40 mph.

After the late week event this looks like the most active period leading up to Christmas on the latest GEFS. Given the cold look, decent chance this would be frozen.

He admitted he was terrible today. Peters hasn't been good lately either. Need those two to tighten things up.

That UHI must be something. All brown here and any frogs that didn't leave my pond are dead.

It sounds like Huntley is ok and has a decent chance to play Saturday. Running game is back to full strength if these guys stay healthy. Smash mouth ball with the D improving some and getting turnovers will get them to the playoffs. We will see how effective Lamar is when he gets back from the sprained knee, and ofc they are perpetually limited in the passing game due to Roman and mediocre WRs. Not sure if they can get past KC, Cincy, or Buffalo, but if they can run it effectively and control TOP, there is a chance.

I guess it comes down the Ravens ability to run it and get a first down when the Steelers know that's exactly what they are going to do.

lol damn Ravens defense.

With a completely inexperienced rookie QB, that was a great drive. Time for the D to do its job late.

So nice to have Stanley, Gus , and DOBBINS!

The secondary has performed so poorly overall when it matters most, maybe his better plays aren't very memorable.

Even with the advertised block, I would worry more about Ocean warmth getting involved with a low tracking too close. Seen that many times since 2016.

Lol no. And he hasn't made many big plays this season.

Thank goodness for Trubisky.

With all the supposed talent in the Raven's secondary, they sure are mediocre. Humphrey getting embarrassed.

There it is on the GEFS. Man what a nice look.

Fluid mechanics/dynamics is cool stuff. Fascinating. Look up Karman vortex street. Vortex shedding occurs on all scales with high enough flow around an obstruction. There is even a flowmeter based on the principle.

Sure is. Guidance in general has been hinting for a couple days now.

Search Atmospheric Angular Momentum and EAMT. Plenty of technical papers on the topic. Complex large scale physics. Esoteric stuff. General idea- The atmosphere is a fluid moving relative to the rotating earth. Big mountains (ie in east Asia)represent obstructions/disturbances to the flow, and act like a 'lever arm' in a sense, imparting a force relative to the earth's rotation, and can influence jet stream configuration.

Yep. Many of our good events are hybrids. Miller B gets associated too much with Ninas and failure. We have many failure modes lol.

Cold air in place ahead of a storm, with a favorable pattern, gives the MA lowlands the best opportunity for frozen. The late week deal has always looked convoluted and simply not enough cold around yet.