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CAPE

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  1. CAPE
    High of 36. Some melting today, but still 4"+ otg. Thaw begins in earnest tomorrow with low 40s. eta- when I was typing/editing the op I deleted part of it- should read: 'still 2.5 - 4+" otg'. Location in the woods filters the sun (and wind) quite a bit.
  2. CAPE
    Lol another one.. Pacific jet extensions BAD. TORCH!! These fuckin guys.
  3. CAPE
    He is still trying to convince himself(and others) his postulation is valid, despite so much failure to connect those dots.
  4. CAPE
    Chuck...
  5. CAPE
    LOL. He is the one who has been pushing the extended Pacific jet = Pac puke = doom narrative and making weenies panic every time they see those words. He probably realizes he won't be able to support that crap this time. Time to shift the goalposts!
  6. CAPE
    Yeah it seems to be in alignment with where the extended tools take the pattern going forward- maybe a little sooner.
  7. CAPE
    My hunch is we are seeing the antithesis of a can kick across guidance.
  8. CAPE
    12z GEFS suggesting the h5 pattern becomes serviceable sooner- western trough progressing eastward under the ridge and indications of NA wave breaks initiating a -NAO.
  9. CAPE
    El Nino favors an extended and equatorward shifted Pacific jet, and the results downstream are often beneficial to our hopes and dreams. Seems he is attempting to be intellectually honest with this one lol.
  10. CAPE
    As advertised there is a significantly amplified PNA ridge with wave breaking pinching off and dropping TPV lobes southward. A major reason is the NPac jet is extended with a strong jet core exit region pretty close to the US west coast. Not all bad despite the myths.
  11. CAPE
    Not sure which counties but driving in northern Caroline and Queen Annes this weekend there were a lot areas with drifting snow across the roads and black ice. Even this morning my road is mostly covered. Lots of open fields and no snow fences around here.
  12. CAPE
    low of 13
  13. CAPE
    The double whammy lol
  14. CAPE
    Maybe. The Bills D was pretty scrappy though late in the game despite missing some key players.
  15. CAPE
    Ravens fans remember... Billy Cundiff
  16. CAPE
    The connection between him and Diggs was off all night. He dropped that perfectly thrown bomb earlier in the game.
  17. CAPE
    Not a fan of the guy but he did seem to pull this team together when they were .500 and looked to be going nowhere. As for Allen, he is a gunslinger and will throw some picks, ignore the open underneath receiver for a big play chance, and is inaccurate at times. Still one of the best QBs in the league and a dual threat like Lamar.
  18. CAPE
    Don't forget Reid. Cringe.
  19. CAPE
  20. CAPE
    The Ravens just need to take care of business against one of the top QBs in the league next week.
  21. CAPE
    Temp down to 22. Ideal radiational cooling conditions. This has a chance to be the coldest night of the winter here.
  22. CAPE
    High of 31. Currently 29. Thaw begins tomorrow.
  23. CAPE
    The NPAC jet is ever-present and upstream so it has a major influence on the pattern. If it is stronger now/ going forward, then it will run the show even more. Frequent and longer lasting HL blocking episodes would help to mitigate the Pacific issues. We need a 1960s-like streak lol.
  24. CAPE
    Simplified explanation- The left exit region of the jet core = strong speed divergence, so low pressure at the surface and an h5 trough. Ridge out in front. If the desired result is a +PNA, we want an extended jet to shift the trough/ridge eastward some. If it extends too much, trough approaches west coast and PNA ridge shifts into central US. Delicate balance.
  25. CAPE
    The primary jet core is actually retracted at this point- Right at the end of run the jet core is strengthening/starts to extend. Roll that forward and that ridge axis should be positioned further eastward along the west coast of N America.
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