CAPE
-
Posts
33,894 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by CAPE
-
An extended solar minimum and a few major volcanic eruptions and we are good to go.
-
lol . That post wasn't directed at you btw.
-
Some of the recent posts maybe should go here- https://www.americanwx.com/bb/forum/18-climate-change/ Have fun.
-
I guess I should take some interest in this, since it is our next threat and potentially the biggest of the winter!!
-
It looks a bit convoluted, discombobulated, and confused. Been that way for awhile though.
-
Poor comparison imo. The period leading up to that had a west based block with a 50-50 low (in a Nino), which we can see the remnants of there as it broke down just ahead of the approaching storm- often associated with a KU. The height pattern progressed to that point a completely different way than we are looking at now. Plus the lower 48 and Canada wasn't a torch leading in.
-
Winter is better regardless. No bugs. Comfortable temps. Weak sun. Everything brown and inactive. If only it could last for 12 months, even if it never snowed.
-
I generally prefer indica, but it sometimes doesn't work quite right for me doing physical activity lol.
-
This is as far as you can get from ideal up top on the Atlantic side for MA snow. Completely inverted. I'm off to enjoy some fresh air before it gets dark.
-
I am having a beer, then a bit of sativa, then going on a nice hike. Get out and enjoy nature. Beautiful and peaceful, even without snow.
-
I am beginning to think a highly amplified but progressive pattern with much of NA devoid of cold is not the best way for us to get snow. More timing and luck than usual required.
-
We ready for a reload? I might get loaded.
-
Yes clearly the lack of available cold IS the core issue. My post is predicated on that. Sure the High has to move, but the airmass behind it matters. The flow on the backside of the departing High in conjunction the flow around the low matters. Especially when the airmass is barely cold enough to start with. More specifically, the panel where Ji was whining about no CAD didn't make any sense. At that point the low was on top of us. Sometimes you way overthink this stuff lol.
-
It's a mean and 7 days out. The general idea and placement of features make this a nice run. Getting enough cold air involved is likely going to be problematic to some degree.
-
Baby steps. Still a week out. There was a Euro run or 2 that got some legit cold involved.
-
Just ignore the surface temps.
-
Not hating this run.
-
I guess I was more responding to Ji and Psu than you lol. I was agreeing with you there should be CAD initially.
-
And there is CAD at the beginning, although not super strong. I guess I see things differently but with no blocking, a transient 50-50 low hauling ass up into the NA, and a wound up low hugging the coast, not sure how HP is supposed to just sit there.
-
Count the lows. thought I was looking at a GEFS member low location panel for a minute.
-
Russet fan myself.
-
And a wound up coastal hugger.
-
That might do the job.
-
Yep I posted about this last evening. Aligns with the GEFSX.
-
We have had a 'bad' set of runs, which ultimately determines nothing. We also know the current pattern is problematic(lack of cold, progressive flow), so a lot of elements need to fall in place for this to work out. Still a week out so..
