CAPE

70/42. Just wow. Clone this day and give it to me for the next 3 months, with some cool rain every 4 days.

Perfection. Been outside all day soaking it up. Planted some perennial native grasses this morning when it was misty and temps in the 40s. Now sipping a margarita and placing some annuals in the pots on the deck.

Latest CFS runs now go out to Feb. Jan and Feb looking similar to CanSIPS. Favorable Pac, -AO/NAO. Dec isn't bad either. Fwiw ofc.

5ofMay HH- Homemade guac and a Margarita ofc. Cheers!

We can hope. Health and production from the new additions, as well as Lamar and Bateman.

Nice. He is better than Peters at this juncture, and the Ravens CB draft pick(Kelly) isn't a plug in starter at this point. They could still sign Peters, which would be ideal. Can never have enough CBs.

Picked up 0.18" of rain with the showers this morning. Getting some sun now. Temp is 52. Chilly day.

52 here after a high of 57. Not hating this at all given how easily we do 80s and humid this time of year.

7.15" for April here. 5"+ fell over the last 10 days

I agree the -EPO is probably a key feature, and will likely be needed more going forward in order to inject enough cold into the pattern. The domestic variety doesn't seem to be getting it done nearly as much these days.

New edition of CanSIPS for Dec. Bigger EPO ridge for Jan and esp Feb, plus -NAO.

0.65" total for yesterday.

0.36" so far Half inch or so will probably be it for this event based on radar, after just about 3" for round 1. Mostly missed in all directions today other than light stuff. Plenty of rain the last 7+ days though.

A NA blocking pattern isn't a miracle worker. We need anomalous cold in the pattern(somehow) for snow to occur at our latitude/relatively low elevation. In a warming climate with a potentially stronger/persistent NPJ + warmer Atlantic, that probably means a mechanism that injects cross polar flow(+PNA/-EPO). The days of a -AO/NAO/ -PNA being a good setup for snow in these parts is probably on the wane. 220, 221. Whatever it takes. (for snow)

0.23" here so far. It's been a mostly rain-free morning/early afternoon. Probably safe to drop the flood watch.

Moderate rain here with this initial SE to NW moving line. Shouldn't last too long.

I notice this a lot more by early June. Beyond that it can rain its ass off here but the soil will be parched a few days later. Grass will be withering away by mid June.

My wetland a month ago, which looked the same 10 days ago, save for more green. Very usually dry. Same area today- more typical for this time of year. Changed in a hurry since last weekend.

That's a place I have been wanting to go. Seems to have a cool vibe and very scenic.

Drove to Kent island today. Remarkable to see flooded areas near creeks and major ditches, and farm fields with broad/ shallow pools of water, given how things looked just a week or so ago. Rooting for the under tomorrow.

Fixed it. See my post in banter. Add a little weed to that.

Sun breaks here too. Nice afternoon/early evening. Low 60s. Rounds of heavy rain with some thunder looks like a good bet for tomorrow.

Mount Holly AFD snippet- For Sunday, the second of two low pressure systems will affect the area as deepening low pressure system moves northward through the day from the Carolinas towards NE PA. This will occur in response to a strong shortwave pivoting around an upper level low over the Midwestern States. This will lead to another wet day and the difference compared with the first system is that there will be a bit more instability in play as the triple points moves over Delmarva and southern NJ with low level flow from the S/SE. Expect rain/showers to move in southwest to northeast through the morning into the early afternoon and it`s worth noting, precip could come through in several rounds with a first round moving in during the morning with heavier rain/showers moving in by late day as the system draws closer. The first system has brought a general 1-2 inches of rain so far to much of the area with 2-5+ inches over parts of Delmarva, South Jersey and the NJ coast. This second low will once again tap into rich moisture with PWATs of 1.25, and with a warm cloud layer around 10,000 feet with some instability, precipitation efficiency will be maximized, with rainfall rates potentially on the higher side, especially later in the day. The good news is the system will be a bit more progressive but still, expect another 1 to 2 inches of rain on top of increasingly saturated ground with locally higher amounts possible. For these reasons, a Flood Watch has been issued for our Delmarva, South Jersey, and NJ coastal counties.

Flood watch over here for tomorrow.