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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Relief for me....for now. We've gone from the pike region flirting with danger, to me.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I see what you mean about everything being a bit too far to the east when looping ensembles....
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am fine with MJO 7...its form the tri state region and points south that shouldn't be.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even epic patterns can shit the bed.....you just can't lock anything. BTW, Feb 1969 shows you how it usually evens out lol
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I actually went out of my way to state in that write up that a KU magnitude event was not expected in December, but there was a modest shot in early January. This looks like a snowy pattern to me, but that doesn't have to mean a 12/23/97 or 12/14/92 deal.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I tried to incorporate a range of possibilities with the ranges in that First Call map..the idea is to hone in more for the Final one. But if I'm being honest with myself, I felt it was too aggressive right after I released it.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    The majority of our snowfall comes in patterns that are not epic, as those type of patterns are anomalous for a reason.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's probably my fault for mentioning 2010-2011....all I meant was that this is the type of pattern that we had that season. However, Will mentioned the differences, mainly being that the RNA is immense this year, and perhaps the NAO doesn't make it as far west. Anyway, I clearly stated not to expect 60" in a month.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't know why anyone locked in 8...that was always iffy. 7, yes.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not at all....to deliver? Yep.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agreed.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not looking that closely...there is legit potential, but nothing imminent. The pattern is for real.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    That run is 2-3" here.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    3.5" to 4" on the map...10 mi north? 7".
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    That isn't 5" here.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I can just never win...either LBSW, or NNE.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Of course the sharp gradient is always either just to my south or north...the latter in this case. Never fails.....just a matter of which direction I get bent over in.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS also drops the ball on NYE lol
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jesus....GEM and GFS are robust north of the pike...wow. Both hair colder and just a bit more juice. I do expect N trends, but the longer we can hold it off, the better.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, gotcha...understood. Obviously do whatever you feel is in your best interest, Jerry. Health comes first.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Operative word being modest....I'm not sure why anything is in jeopardy over an inch or two of snow...
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I always understood a SWFE as system in which the mid level lows travel west, and there is a SSW flow aloft, not necessarily the surface low going west.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    The mid level low does go north of us...
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Cool....sacrifice your place...I'll track lol
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