40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Looks like its essentially the west PAC cousin of ENSO....largely modulated by Walker Cycle, as well? May be interesting to see if IOD phase is correlated to whether a given ENSO event is modoki or canonical....I will look into that this season.
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I need to look into the IOD...its admittedly a hole in my knowledge base. I may research and add a write up about it this season, since its a repeat la nina and I don't have much work to do surrounding ENSO.
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ENSO is always a good starting point. I agree, early portion looks better and mid winter worse relative to last season. One point, though....2000-2001 wasn't front loaded, at least up here....it was pretty relentless activity, with a relative burst early and late. March was actually the most furious stretch.
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Well, it kinda is.....I hate the strong sun and the heat, so we take....theoretically speaking. Not banking on the 384 hour GFS, of course
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What a pants tent run.
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Sorry for the OT...last bit on this, but my day job is more case management, though I do have two clients on the side that I do therapy with each twice weekly...and it is the side gig where the med prescription element would be more relevant for me specifically....as at work, my role is largely relegated to touching base with the psychiatrist/prescriber to recommend a prescription.
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Yes, I work directly with clients. No, I can not directly prescribe meds, but can help to facilitate the process....however, there is a push in Mass to empower LICSWs to be able to prescribe meds with some extra training.
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Well, as a state LICSW, there isn't really an option for remote work.
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There is a cap on how far west I'll go because I commute to Chelsea...if it weren't for the commute, then I would probably go to around Westford.
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I will be moving probably within the next year, but not too far...probably right around I495.
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There is some variance amongst those seasons with respect to timing...2012-2013 was actually el nino like in that it was back loaded. 1956-1957 was front loaded, and 2000-2001 was just very active with a huge ending. 1985-1986 was just flat out lame.
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Continuation of last winter.
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Not a bad start with respect to analogs, at least from a preliminary basis. I would def. take a repeat of 2012-2013 and especially 2000-2001 in my hood. Even 1956-1957 was good...only terd in the bowl is 1985-1986, but I think there was some bad luck involved there. But sit tight, mid atl...its coming. Probably not this year, but the next.
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Gorgeous...looks like a postcard.
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Haha I was actually interested to hear because I have a history in that town....spent a lot of time throughout the first 20 years of my life in Heniker.
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Yea, only Heniker on earth....we had a camp there when I was a kid. Not a drop of rain here yesterday.
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I thought he was being sarcastic.
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Its more compelling than this afternoon's T-storm activity.
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That 3/5/01 storm was the largest on record for my current BY....I'd take it. But yea, very frustrating not far to my south.
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I sell on this la nina being stronger than last year's, but we'll see....better shot of that than an el nino IMO.
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If we register an official el nino by CPC guidelines between Dec and Feb this winter, then I'll tattoo StormchaserChuck! on my rear and post pics. That said, I wouldn't mind December 2003 or 2019.
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I think the sun last year worked against us....we had quite the solar flare last fall, as the solar activity really picked up.....and the SAI, sea ice etc really wasn't very conducive. But considering any single determinant in a vacuum is a great formula for forecasting futility.
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I would never post the crap that I do if my wife posted here....I am so whipped. I fear her and not afraid to admit that.
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When PF gets raunchy, you know all hope for this place is lost.
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You are sooo lucky Allison doesn't post on here
