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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yes. I guess people want to stray from the usual spot?
  2. It always was more about the rate of change....ie SAI, more then the actual cover (SCE). The people claiming its worthless are every bit as ridiculous as those claiming its gospel. It's one damn tool.
  3. Yea, I mean.....I'm not trying to invalidate your sentiment or get in a "I've had it worse" pissing contest. haha I know you guys have had it worse, just saying my local area up here has been a relative hole. On a regional level, you guys are taking it on the chin.
  4. Yea, but I definitely don't think it can still be classified as "low".
  5. I get it....I have had four consecutive seasons of well below average snowfall. I am very confident that your poor streak will end next season.
  6. I get that, and its baked into what I said.
  7. We are actually well into recovery from the solar nadir of 2020....starting to border on high-solar.
  8. I must have approached 2"...I had 1.33" around 8am and there has been some heavy rain since then. Probably will fall short, though.
  9. I'd post the H5 chart....2m charts aren't as accurate and will often be biased warm.
  10. Well, by consensus, I was just referring to the seasonal guidance posted...not forecasters. Cosgrove is on this stormy train that you are alluding to.....he thinks its going to be very stormy, like 92-93 and 93-94 with a big STJ. I think @raindancewx is in that camp, too, but he has a very mild outlook in the east. Cosgrove is cold with a negative AO/NAO.
  11. .76" prior to midnight, .57" since midnight for a total of 1.33"....still raining fairly heavily.
  12. Yea, I would say the overall consensus there is neg EPO/PNA and slight negative NAO.
  13. I don't make long term tropical predictions...that was actually Cosgrove and Raindance.
  14. I think these were next up in @snowman19's queue of tweets to quote...lol
  15. Nah, I know that was the holy grail there.
  16. Yea, looks like probably a signal for some higher Greenland heights, but tough to infer too much from those MSLP maps.
  17. Oh, sorry. ACE is just Accumulated Cyclone Energy...its a measure of the energy emitted by tropical systems. Solar just refers to current position in the solar cycle...ie, we are currently ascending into solar cycle 25, so you want to consider other seasons that were also ascending. This will all be explained.
  18. Cosgrove is all in on a -AO/NAO.
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