40/70 Benchmark

I think there is still room for this to become more of a basin wide event, but I don't see it becoming a decidedly eastern biased deal like last year. I don't think its a big deal whether its modoki or basin wide given that it will remain fairly weak.

I'll defer to you on that since you lived it and I didn't. I also think a lot of the records from a storm like that are crap and not very accurate, as Steve alluded to.

Have at it...no one would care because you would be the only hapless soul doing it and your posts would get scrolled.

I don't think it would have been 28-30", @STILL N OF PIKE......if we are saying 23" (don't have the climo data in front of me, it was probably like 26-27"...normal rate of compaction is about 1"/10' snowfall. Granted the wind was strong, which would augment compaction, but the rates were not super intense lake effect level like the March 2018 deal was IMBY. I was more like consistent 1"/hr over a 24 hour stretch with like a 10: ratio......its the low water content fluff like I saw in March 2018 that compacts more.

This is true. SNE.

Yea, I was going to add that caveat......I will be delving into that much more beginning next week and through to the release of the outlook in November. Certainly can change...

I think Jan 05 on the cape and Feb 78 from the s shore into N RI are about as it bad as a storm will ever get in this region for snow/wind combo. Feb 13' in CT and Dec '92 in the Berkshires for snowfall specifically.

That is a fair point....but it wasn't like a top 5er for me in terms of snowfall....maybe at the time it was.

I had 25", but it was relatively tame...22" max depth.

From what I can gather, amounts were in the low 20s...maybe the wind was epic, but the snowfall totals were not.

'78 and '05 were nothing epic in my area.....'97 and '13 were. March 5, 2001 is actually probably the highest impact for MBY.

I remember that season was a would be el nino that never quite got going, but it sure as hell evolved like one.

Yea, it was awful...Jerry is right we had an event late in the game, but that doesn't salvage it for me.

Exactly.

Just looking through my modoki la nina composite and its not as bad as one would think...save for 2011-2012, the seasons are only awful if la nina goes off of the rails and is in beast mode. Just as we see with respect to el nino, weaker events have more variability and are not as polarized by structure. I do not think this year will be awful....not great, not bad.

I had no issue with the Feb 2013 blizzard...would have like to have been in the CT death band, but one of my better blizzards.

Nothing to do with this topic...I'm over it, anyway.

Yea, it was a great season, but my point was just that it started poorly in December....I didn't say that the month was absolutely snowless, but it sucked.

Similar here....I think I am at .31" on the month.

Yea, beautiful.

Our definitions of wretched are different. It was a paltry month for snowfall and it was pretty mild, as I recall.

I think the issue is that its difficult to quantify and there are so many different ways to attempt to do so. That looks more realistic than the drought monitor, which seems a bit sensational.

I guess if I had to choose, I actually want the storm because its a bit of a warm up for the cold season and if nothing else, at least gets me accustomed to posting again. Break up the monotony a bit without the anxiety of being heavily invested like winter, when the stakes are higher.

I feel like droughts are a weather phenomenon that is almost always exaggerated.

That is what it has come to......brutal 7 month stretch since the blizzard that queefed in my face.