I never waivered from my seasonal that year....it was my first one. I was taking some serious shit from scooter when things looked bleak in January...I think I had 80-90" in Boston. I was nervous, but wouldn't budge.
I ended up low.
Its bc the model QPF is mainly from low level fronto, as it struggles with mid levels, which is usually what occurs near edge of low level QPF field. But we need the mid levels to get going a touch sooner in order to toss the moisture back there.