Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    72,827

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    HAHA Got ya. I think we are good before xmas.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Australian model is great for all of SNE....lol ICON is nice north of pike.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    No one denied a mild period mid month...it was you punting the month that was the source of dissent.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same idea...probably going to be some gradient and I would not expect any singularly huge events with that compressed flow. Fits with the idea from the seasonal outlook w respect to Dec.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have this for phase 7/Dec/Nina
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    The polar domain should get a bit less hostile later in December, but any major disruption is well over a month away and perhaps closer to two+ months away. We should do fine later this month,,,especially northern half of region. If there is a "blizzard" type of event this year, best shot is early March....with perhaps a smaller secondary maxima of potential early Jan before warmer interlude again establishes.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that next on the 6th is a lost cause. I will do a write up this wknd.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not worried at all.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS OP is an error with the very warm look of late....its totally at odds with tropical forcing, for which we have a very good consensus. The fairly mild interlude that we will have mid month belies the true overall tenor of this month.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think I will do okay with that, but you should clean up before we melt for a while thereafter.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its possible to have a decent winter without several severely crippling and debilitating blizzards.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I can already hear the people like Luke who are going to be skeptical that it will be pushed back, but I really do not think so. That is for real IMHO. I also think it will end up back there again at some point after the New Year, but that is another discussion.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Can see the beginning of the end of the milder pattern at the end of the EPS on 12/17 with the Aleutian ridging en route to AK, as that vortex finally shifts eastward..my first look at guidance this season, and it looks right on cue to get very wintery before the holidays.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    That EURO run was brutal for me...20" over the next 10 days like 60 mi to my north, and like 4" here.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very tall hills.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not bad...I'm doing $25 monthly for wxbell, which has really good graphics IMO...and getting business package from F5 for Dec through March for only $25 total (not monthly), as have worked out an arrangement with some of the guys here.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    That makes sense...only reason I do not do yearly is because I have close to zero interest in mid latitude weather during the summer....my attention shifts to the tropics and I get everything I need in that respect from the free packages.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    We just had a rat two years ago.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Especially you guys, but it can be the highest percentage pattern from around Boston points north.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    @MJO812@RUNNAWAYICEBERG and @HIPPYVALLEY check PMs
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    With any luck at all, yea.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    December 2018 actually proked us and got the mid atl.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this speaks to what I was saying to Luke about climo...it is a winter month, but for SNE, the season is still ramping up.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly this. Its not a textbook winter pattern, but you can't just look at a table of indexes and make assumptions...you need to glean insight from the hemispheric nuances and such. This is not a slam dunk-skunk, and can actually be rather snowy for a lot of us.
×
×
  • Create New...