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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Must be CC
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just about 0 in 1972-1973, I think
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, to be fair....if I get 2', then I don't complaint about someone getting 3'. I was perfectly fine with Jan 2015 and the JP was just west of me. It's the ones that give me like 12-16" with widespread 2'+ around me that make me lose my shit.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    The pattern has been for me to get bent over in the respectable seasons, but do relatively "well" in the rats....a la 2019-2020 and this year. Good recipe for going several years without sniffing average snows.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    The fact that you drive to every jackpot implies that you feel the same way.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nope, Will can tell you the flip of the dice is even odds
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll take this over 12" for me and 30" everywhere else.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ugh...was torn between last year and 2011 at first ...bu then you said the date and it threw me off.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    2015.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Last January?
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    2009-2010 is still the most frustrating for me.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I was trying to hold out hope, but joining ya. If we get a late turn around, then great...wouldn't surprise me, but breath isn't held.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think that matters one bit.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just go with the least interesting outcome and call it a forecast.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    At some point, you need just rip your clothes off and have a good melt.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that has been another impact. You are right about that past several years, though....fairly consistent. Mine have been oiined between 44 and 51".
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel like CC will cause more spread between the mean and median in the future.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally agree that CC has lended itself to more dichotomous seasons in terms of snowfall.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good point. I second thought, I will leave it on the table under any ENSO conditions.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I figured that card would get pulled, but you weren't the one I expected to pull it. Okay...yea, new world...climate change. I now average 40". Take the bet? 63" or greater IMBY next season. Given how much the climate has changed, its easy pickn's for you.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am honest to god pulling for a fast termination of the cold....it doesn't look too particularly likely to deliver, and even if it did, the most likely period is when I'll be tending to the wife and newborn in the hospital. Hard pass.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would pull it, at that point....but I would be willing to offer it now. Well, anyway, like I said....mathwise, you are right, but there is a reason you won't take the bet lol
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have stopped even looking....aside from what I need to do to maintain the blog, but I am de-invested.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm sure in the federal court of mathematics, you are correct....but like I said, I am very comfortable betting against such an occurrence. Put your money where your calculator is. I am a man of my word...pickles would tell you that. I always pay up...
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you are viewing it in a vacuum through shear mathematical probability, than you are correct.......but given how I feel the next warm ENSO event will evolve, and the fact that I have never gone six consecutive well below average snowfall seasons in well over 50 years of data, I feel more confident than 50/50.
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