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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    E24 FTW
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Barrel of laughs watching the GFS model the Godzilla of an NAO block to gobble up the east coast.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could think of a few sequences that were a bit more fun
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will say one thing, and that is that I am sure as hell sick of la nina. Good riddance-
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've been arguing right along that it never looked like a frigid pattern. People only hear what they want to.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    If absolutely must, then you should also bump the one where you proclaimed that were "all in".
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think its too early for anyone to bump anything.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Depends how many BEERs.....6+ the latter, any less and its the former.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Great post.....totally agree. I know its an el nino, but I mentioned January to February 1969 as another example of blocking patterns taking a while of pay dividends.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Up to 43.4 from 19.4
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I said last fall I was pretty confident that it would be at least a healthy moderate warm ENSO next year....but we'll see what things look like later this year.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    No one said that. But all else being equal, it provides the cold with more staying power, which is why it is linked to colder patterns in the northeast on average. At present all else is not equal because there is no mechanism to drive the cold southeast as of yet.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree, but neither is calling me an "idiot" and making baseless accusations of plagiarism. Tough not to lose your cool when you present evidence to the contrary and the unsubstantiated claims continue. It should be a warn able offense. But as an LICSW, I should know better than to use that language in a derogatory manner. My apologies.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely. Will I do it? Probably not lol I know what you are driving at....hahaha
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even last week, I said the threat period began AFTER THE 10TH, so this is for the most part valid. Maybe I should have left out the mention of a potential colder than initially assessed outcome for the month December.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will admit that I was a little too quick to entertain the notion of a faster transition to a more favorable look than my original outlook implied. I do feel like I jumped the gun a bit on my update last week...but my overall ideas seem right on track and I am not concerned in the least.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Usually when this place gets like this, its wise to just scale back engagement until a concrete threat materializes.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    ....and I'm sure you could rest easy if we had a blizzard modeled at day 13....
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Glad you went "all in" then!
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    What is uninspiring is the selective reading comprehension....I feel like it was always stressed how the first several days of the pattern change was tenuous for a lot of areas, and now that it isn't going to work out for said areas, fingers point.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    And there is a change....we go from nothing happening to a pattern that favors the interior and higher elevation.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is how I feel about most of December...mid Atlantic waits until after NY IMO.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably, but I still see a path to normalish.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very true, but regardless, I think the higher end potential is beyond mid month....whether that be the 20th of the 28th.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    We'll see...loooong way to go.
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