40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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2017-2018 was fairly backloaded.
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Complete agreement. Been saying all fall...any pig of AK this season is transient and big time Pacifc improvements in January with a return if blocking. I titled my outlook "Mid Winter Mayhem" for a reason.
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+1/2" 2" on the season...
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About 1/3" here -
.23" rain yesterday, 1.95" today for an event total of 2.18". Currently a nice snow squall and all white... 26.2 off of a high of 54.3.
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Gotcha. I guess I didn't read that much into it....both are true. Its been a -PNA month, but in that specific instance, the PNA ridge was just too far west. Right.
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Well, in a stochastic sense, that snapshot is.....the origin isn't tropical forcing, but its still higher heights in the east that porked our storm chances. Chicken or egg....
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Yea, nuances like that determine whether it ends up snowing much or not. Def. part of the reason why the coast and back inland about 50mi or so saw even less snow than I had anticipated in December...and I wasn't gangbusters, either.
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So far, so good IMO...not perfect, but satisfactory with a week to go...
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Yea, I mean....I'm coming out of December with 1.5" given the pattern that just materialized....yhat is flat out sadistic, especially given how much the last several years have sucked here relative to other locales. Anyway, still very much in on this season....happy holidays.
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Is the rain pretty much done?
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Still a shot at some garbage inverted terd, too....can never entirely close the door on those things.
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I mean, its really windy...but its nothing I will remember for years to come (like Feb 2010), aside from the fact that is resulted in the longest thread ever for a non-tropical rain event.
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If it were snow, that dryslot would have whipped right in.
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Its been exactly as I had expected for my area....a shitty drive, but nothing too out of the ordinary.
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LOL Yea, drink 'til its cute-
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I'll still take that if it results in more 30"ers that pork me with 13". I'll gladly trade a few 6"ers that leave me with 3".
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Low hanging fruit
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Wow...you must keep in good shape. How is the gag reflex?
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I had about that when I left around 7.
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Not my home....station still reporting.
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Stunner....just floored.
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Location of the greatest SST anomalies in the crudest sense..you can also look at OLR and VP. I have plenty on that in my outlooks. But I don't mean to imply that there aren't exceptions...obviously nothing operates in a vacuum and there are other hemispheric drivers to consider, but ENSO structure is a key player assuming decent intensity. The position isn't as important for very weak events because obviously the forcing is weaker, thus the relationship is more diffuse.
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It's not a crap shoot....especially once they have some intensity. It determines where the forcing sets up to a large extent.
