40/70 Benchmark

Next year may have a sneaky potential with a big ACE La Nina likely.

I guess its more of a concern for you because you are a professional with paying customers....I just forecast for @512highon my High School weather blog (thanks @jbenedet)

2031.

You can do both.....still include H5 composite and snowfall forecast. I went above normal temps and near normal snowfall this year. Don't be afraid to go "warm and snowy".

Yea, just need to look at the scoreboard. I need to find a better way to convey/adjust for that in my composites. Omega was 100% right about that...its constructive criticism. Def. not a bias, though.

Well, when every year is above normal it does.

Its not ideal......but sometimes ideal patterns do not bare the fruit and suboptimal ones do. I think the big dog potential will still exist.

Raindance has been decent, too, but too cold...like most.

I really wish that @bluewavewould make seasnal attempts because I feel like he may have been closest overall, but its tough to commit to that when he only does two week intervals.

This is fair.

You average 50"? How much do you have?

I feel like @qg_omegamay have had a point when he said that we need to do a better job accounting for GW with respect to the seasonal temp forecasts.

I don't think anyone can really claim a full-fledged victory so far, though....this certaintly has not looked like a super el Nino, despite being very warm....I think both sides have had some wins and losses.

Its been warmer than you and I expected...no doubt. But the snow potential has been on point IMO....just a bit unlucky in December and then with the big pattern last week. And yes, that was an awful pattern in December and it should have sucked for snowfall, but the fact that interior SNE got just about literally skunked was a bit unfortunate....normally those spots would still sneak one half-decent event. Last week was definitely bad luck. But I expected a rough December and January for the coast in terms of snowfall.

One thing I feel validated on is the La Nina vibe to the snowfall distribition this season...I expected that.

I feel good for a decent snowfall where I am...I don't expect a jackpot or double digits again...plowable. Keep biding time adding numbers so that I am poised to finally hit normal snowfall when the big pattern sets up in Feb.

I'm pumped.

I was deinitely wrong about how much time we have spent in warm patterns, but I still think the snowfall can work out. I feel like this replica (Decemeber-January) pattern sequence that we are going to see unfold will be much more explosive and fruitfil late season than it was in earlier in the year.

Temps are shot....but funny thing is most of the region can still end up above normal snowfall if we grab one or two big dogs later in February and/or early March.

This is kind of like a mini 3/5/2001 in terms of modeling evolution.

Thanks, pal. I don't blame you.

1973.

Looks decent.

Touch colder, but yea...

@Torch Tigerhas weenie Tourette Syndrome. Its not me passing judgment; that is the feedback that I received.