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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why wouldn't you weight tropical forcing in a strong el Nino? Keep in mind forcing is less important in weaker events.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why are you just focusing on the 50's and 60's?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think PV disruption is closer to mid month into the holidays.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    No argument here.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't just mean the numeric value of the index...the pattern itself was very anomalous and augmented by the fact that even the +PNA interval in January was biased so far west that it acted as an extreme RNA. I'm not arguing the point that seasonals have Gross limitations....just that last season was an anomaly that wasn't really predictable on a seasonal level.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure last season is a great example given the magnitude of the PDO....that will never be forecasted on a seasonal level.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    He obviously has an agenda that biases his contemporary work, but the guy had already established himself on the Mount Rushmore of meteorology.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    My LICSW mind sniffs out some jealousy of the career he has built and insecurity about this own professional standing...people act overtly aggressive like that when they feel threatened and inadequate.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Guy is an ass and he knows he is full of hot air....only type of people that do that. Anyone confident in their abilities doesn't feel the need to constantly try to prop themselves up on the shoulders of others.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't see anything wrong with it....Dec looks rather uneventful, though not a torch...and January is fine. That is a split flow.....there is enough cold there IMO.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Makes more sense to me. Glad to see that. All three months look good, though.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like Old Man Winter's Bday it is- Someone bring a cake haha
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am actually not frustrated with @snowman19....he has grown on me TBH....good guy with a lot of great insight, even if a healthy dose of it is recycled from Mr. Roundy's keyboard. lol We disagree and I accept that.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, I don't even mind the W PAC cooling some....all set with a great deal of phase 6 this winter....I am not concerned about canonical forcing setting up in the seasonal mean, though I am sure there will be some thawing periods that do feature that.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dude, region 4 is near record levels....what are you looking for, Jesus to piss near the dateline? Its basinwide.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....whenever available. Thanks, man.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I suspect not, this year.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    You guys are clutch with the incessant graphics feed into an ongoing outlook effort lol
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gracias.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey, @griteater, Have an update graphic through Sept/Oct?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    We should make weenie emojis count as a post.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    @brooklynwx99Draftkings is opening up a line for the over/under on Roundy quotes attributing the delay of the December cold to that one last WWB.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dec ends up being a case of kick the can, I think....which will trigger a slew of tweet quotes from @snowman19and melt downs from the usual suspects.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I expect it to be major.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    We need to make sure that PV disruption continues on schedule in early December, though....any later, and the impact of it will be delayed until after the new year...which is my default premise, anyway.
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