Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    73,224

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS for comparison GEM:
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, ideally the ULL would be a bit further south, but I would take that look and run.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Fair point.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its like the Kutchera snow maps...they are only of any use in very select circumstances.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I meant the weekly product.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    It depends on how quickly we can get the ULL out of AK...EURO guidance pulls it out faster, which likely gets us a winter storm right around Xmas. The GFS is slower.....so its rain.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I thought I may have met him....thanks. I am sure I will remember him when I see him.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will say, I am sure that there will be some sequences of Maritime contributions that aren't reflected in the monthlies....IE, I don't think we are going to see this standing wave of orgasm from Christmas to St Paddy's day. But those details won't be picked up at this range....so I agree with you. For instance, I feel that there will be a thaw in mid January.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe just the core four...fine with me, but would like to see others. @DavisStraightdon't think we have met yet..
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think its relegated to mid Atlantic and south......N stream looks to remain active.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    The Euro weeklies match the ensembles and Roundy's MJO tool perfectly...they have also been consistent for months. I don't think this is just a case of "stock ENSO"....I think its right.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Snowman, kudos for recognizing it and changing that emoji. I respect that.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    @snowman19Can I ask why you weenie certain contributions of empirical data? I mean, if you were genuinely objective, I feel as though you would welcome that..... I make it a point to stick up for you because I think you add a lot of great info, regardless of whether or not is in the best interest of my forecast or personal preference.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    So whom do we have? Jerry, Scooter, Will, Garth and me....anyone else that is definite?
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Bruce Shwoegler just rolled over in his grave.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was Lee. It was obvious just by where it had tracked that it was no threat. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/09/hurricane-lee-minimal-threat-to-us.html
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, yea....I sniffed out how fraudulent that system was at literally like day 7...one post, and dismissed.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, he posted that stupid surface wind map from the EURO...at like day 5-6. I was just like, "useless".
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, this is what he meant.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Cape is different...I don't even count that.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    This one guy in a Facebook group I am in was hyping up 70mph winds...smart dude, too...I was incredulous. He was going on about how interesting the storm was, and I was just like "get it over with".
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Norwell to Pembroke is always CJ ground zero.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you want to know what the template is for a snowy season in SNE, combine an active N stream with temps that are not prohibitively warm. That provides a relatively safe floor.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just as an FYI....Bluewave isn't all bad news. I hit on the active N stream relative to expectation for a strong el Nino in my write up....this is why I don't expect the NE screw job that some do.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    A new weenie joins the ranks.
×
×
  • Create New...