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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I wonder if Paul realizes that he is referring to this as a canonical, super el Nino and in the same breath anticipating a potential SSW....here is list of those events that featured a early strat warming.....ready, go: .................... You wonder at what point this will eventually register.
  2. Dude, you do realize I have been calling for peak ONI of 1.7 to 1.9, unabated, since June? Furthermore, considering the pending strat warming that even Paul is on board with, you should have a gander at the seasonal evolution of the composite of el Nino seasons that have featured a disturbed polar domain in December with forcing pinned near the Dateline. Get a grip...and a clue-
  3. Hot off of the presses, Donny Ballgame goes normal at Beantown for December.....I think even I am about +1 lol
  4. While I still highly doubt an ONI above 1.9, I agree that it doesn't really matter.
  5. Perfectly stated...Paul approached this with an archaic frame of mind...doesn't necessarily mean that he isn't brilliant, but rather human like the rest of us. That said, it doesn't mean wall-to-wall cold and snow, either. I agree with you that there will be some bouts of Maritime forcing.
  6. This has to be one of the dumbest posts I have ever seen on these forums for a multitude of different reasons. God, you are a new kind of awful these days.
  7. I would consider first flakes a win, but even that seems dubious. Next two weeks are gravy.
  8. Remember back in the good 'ole days, when you got a cold and life went on?
  9. Who is getting there at 2? @WinterWolf@Ginx snewx?
  10. No, wrong. Quite the opposite, high geomag corresponds to +NAO/+AO actually. Tony Pann is a weenie met just like Bastardi, Margavage, Margusity, Steve D and more recently Cosgrove Correct, that along with solar wind are linked to strong PV, but they both peak 1-3 years after solar max....this is why descending solar is hostile for winter.
  11. December 1981 was great IMBY... big Miller B backed in and crushed ENE.
  12. We're all in agreement snow will be a tall task during the first two weeks of the month in SNE.
  13. I was actually able to find parking there before...not sure how I'll play it yet. I work right next door in Chelsea, so I may just drive in.
  14. Phew....they could use it. Tough season last year pissing on my grave all winter.
  15. I could def. be a bit rushed initially....I actually think I explicitly mentioned that possibility in my write up, which would lead to angst after the last few seasons. I do not expect a case of it being denied, or incessant can kicking, though.
  16. You seem like you are about where I am in terms of proximity to the marine layer....as in obnoxious marine influence ends at the fence of your adjacent western neighbor.
  17. It backed off from yesterday...has me at like an inch now, as opposed to 3-4".
  18. Yea, 15-20 probably. You only need to be about 10mi back from the ocean in NH because of the angle of the coast...NE winds tend to come off of ME more than the GOM.
  19. Not to mention he posts that Dec 2015 MJO plot that is amplified as hell moving through the Maritimes, along side the plot for this December, which clearly has it limping into the COD before completing phase 4.....while likely mild, this month will be orders of magnitude cooler than December 2015.
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